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This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging
economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has
become especially germane during the current episode of financial
turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the
interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing
activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the
appropriate role of the exchange rate. The exchange rate is a more
important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have
adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting
advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies
generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and
intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their
advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange
rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange
rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However,
their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion
about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the
inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation.
Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and
the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began
in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.
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