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Demography can be considered the key to understanding much of
biology. It is the demographic processes of birth and death which
govern the spread of populations through environmentsand the spread
of genes through populations. An understa- ing of demographycan
yield not only an understanding of population size and p- ulation
change, it can help us to understand the form and function of life
histories; whenorganismsmature,whentheybreed,and whentheydie.
Demographicinsights allow us to see how populations function, how
they interact with their changing environment, and how they adapt.
The analysis of demographic processes in free-living organisms is
however no simple task and involves considerable challenges in
observation and analysis. Some
20yearsago,therewasaconcertedefforttopromoteinter-disciplinarycollaboration
between biologists and statisticians to address these challenges
and thereby to f- ther our understanding of demographic processes
in natural populations. Although many diverse organisms can be
studied in the wild, birds have proved particularly amenable with
large numbers being marked and followed by large networks of -
servers. Itwas nocoincidencethenthatthe EuropeanUnionforBird
Ringing(EUR- ING) played a leading role in these initiatives,
teaming up in the mid-1980swith the Mathematical Ecology Group of
the Biometric Society, and the British Ecological Society, to bring
together experts from diverse ?elds to address the challenges in
hand. Twenty years on, progresshas been considerable and we now
have signi?cant insights into demographic processes thanks to the
wide range of quantitative tools and systematically collected
datasets which have been built up over this period.
Population Dynamics - Growth, Density-Dependence and Decomposing
?.- Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Inference About Population
Growth.- Assessing Density-Dependence: Where Are We Left?.- The
Efficient Semiparametric Regression Modeling of Capture-Recapture
Data: Assessing the Impact of Climate on Survival of Two Antarctic
Seabird Species.- Multivariate State Space Modelling of Bird
Migration Count Data.- Evolutionary Ecology.- Contribution of
Capture-Mark-Recapture Modeling to Studies of Evolution by Natural
Selection.- Application of Capture-Recapture to Addressing
Questions in Evolutionary Ecology.- Estimating Reproductive Costs
with Multi-State Mark-Recapture Models, Multiple Observable States,
and Temporary Emigration.- Estimating Latent Time of Maturation and
Survival Costs of Reproduction in Continuous Time from
Capture-Recapture Data.- Abundance Estimation - Direct Methods,
Proxies, Occupancy Models and Point Count Data.- Inferences About
Landbird Abundance from Count Data: Recent Advances and Future
Directions.- Sources of Measurement Error, Misclassification Error,
and Bias in Auditory Avian Point Count Data.- Density Estimation by
Spatially Explicit Capture-Recapture: Likelihood-Based Methods.- A
Generalized Mixed Effects Model of Abundance for Mark-Resight Data
When Sampling is Without Replacement.- Evaluation of the Linkage
Disequilibrium Method for Estimating Effective Population Size.-
Dispersal, Movement and Migration - Methods and Multi-State
Models.- Migration and Movement - The Next Stage.- Stopover
Duration Analysis with Departure Probability Dependent on Unknown
Time Since Arrival.- Habitat Selection, Age-Specific Recruitment
and Reproductive Success in a Long-Lived Seabird.- Cubic Splines
for Estimating the Distribution of Residence Time Using Individual
Resightings Data.- Detecting Invisible Migrants: An Application of
Genetic Methods to Estimate Migration Rates.- Wildlife and
Conservation Management.- Stochastic Variation in Avian Survival
Rates: Life-History Predictions, Population Consequences, and the
Potential Responses to Human Perturbations and Climate Change.-
Filling a Void: Abundance Estimation of North American Populations
of Arctic Geese Using Hunter Recoveries.- Integration of
Demographic Analyses and Decision Modeling in Support of Management
of Invasive Monk Parakeets, an Urban and Agricultural Pest.-
Combing Sources of Information - Kalman Filters, Matrix Methods and
Joint Likelihoods.- Completing the Ecological Jigsaw.- Using a
State-Space Model of the British Song Thrush Turdus philomelos
Population to Diagnose the Causes of a Population Decline.- A
Hierarchical Covariate Model for Detection, Availability and
Abundance of Florida Manatees at a Warm Water Aggregation Site.- An
Integrated Analysis of Multisite Recruitment,
Mark-Recapture-Recovery and Multisite Census Data.- Bayesian
Applications - Advances, Random Effects and Hierarchical Models.-
Bayes Factors and Multimodel Inference.- Estimating Demographic
Parameters from Complex Data Sets: A Comparison of Bayesian
Hierarchical and Maximum-Likelihood Methods for Estimating Survival
Probabilities of Tawny Owls, Strix aluco in Finland.- Inference
About Species Richness and Community Structure Using
Species-Specific Occupancy Models in the National Swiss Breeding
Bird Survey MHB.- Time-Varying Covariates and Semi-Parametric
Regression in Capture-Recapture: An Adaptive Spline Approach.- A
Further Step Toward the Mother-of-All-Models: Flexibility and
Functionality in the Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data.- The
Robust Design - Sampling, Applications and Advances.- Exploring
Extensions to Multi-State Models with Multiple Unobservable
States.- Extending the Robust Design for DNA-Based
Capture-Recapture Data Incorporating Genotyping Error and
Laboratory Data.- A Traditional and a Less-Invasive Robust Design:
Choices in Optimizing Effort Allocation for Seabird Population
Studies.- Non-random Temporary Emigration and the Robust Design:
Conditi
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