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Based on lectures given as part of The Stone Lectures in Economics,
this book discusses the problem of formulating monetary policy in
practice, under the uncertain circumstances which characterize the
real world. The first lecture highlights the limitations of
decision rules suggested by the academic literature and recommends
an approach involving, first, a firm reliance on the few
fundamental and robust results of monetary economics and, secondly,
a pragmatic attitude to policy implementation, taking into
consideration lessons from central banking experience. The second
lecture revisits Milton Friedman's questions about the effects of
active stabilization policies on business cycle fluctuations. It
explores the implications of a simple model where the policy maker
has imperfect knowledge about potential output and the private
sector forms expectations according to adaptive learning. This
lecture shows that imperfect knowledge limits the scope for active
stabilization policy and strengthens the case for conservatism.
How and for whose benefit the European Central Bank (ECB) will work is one of the most important issues facing Europe, and has been the subject of vast media and academic interest. Much of this discussion has been of an increasingly emotional and political nature and has served to blur rather than inform. Written by a team at the ECB, including Otmar Issing, its Chief Economist, this study provides the first comprehensive, inside, non-technical analysis of the monetary policy strategy, institutional features and operational procedures of the Eurosystem.
Today, 318 million people in 15 countries use the Euro, which now
rivals the importance of the US Dollar in the world economy. This
is an outcome that few would have predicted with confidence when
the Euro was launched. How can we explain this success and what are
the prospects for the future? There is nobody better placed to
answer these questions than Otmar Issing, who as a founding member
of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (1998 2006),
was one of the Euro's principal architects. His story is a unique
insider account, combining personal memoir with reference to the
academic and policy literature. Free of jargon, this is a very
human reflection on a unique historical experiment and a key
reference for all academics, policy makers, and 'Eurowatchers'
seeking to understand how the Euro has got to where it is today and
what challenges lie ahead.
Today, 318 million people in 15 countries use the Euro, which now
rivals the importance of the US Dollar in the world economy. This
is an outcome that few would have predicted with confidence when
the Euro was launched. How can we explain this success and what are
the prospects for the future? There is nobody better placed to
answer these questions than Otmar Issing, who as a founding member
of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (1998 2006),
was one of the Euro's principal architects. His story is a unique
insider account, combining personal memoir with reference to the
academic and policy literature. Free of jargon, this is a very
human reflection on a unique historical experiment and a key
reference for all academics, policy makers, and 'Eurowatchers'
seeking to understand how the Euro has got to where it is today and
what challenges lie ahead.
How and for whose benefit the European Central Bank (ECB) will work is one of the most important issues facing Europe, and has been the subject of vast media and academic interest. Much of this discussion has been of an increasingly emotional and political nature and has served to blur rather than inform. Written by a team at the ECB, including Otmar Issing, its Chief Economist, this study provides the first comprehensive, inside, non-technical analysis of the monetary policy strategy, institutional features and operational procedures of the Eurosystem.
A leading economist and former central banker discusses the
evolution of central bank communication from secretiveness to
transparency and accountability. Central bank communication has
evolved from secretiveness to transparency and accountability-from
a reluctance to give out any information at all to the belief in
communication as a panacea for effective policy. In this book,
Otmar Issing, himself a former central banker, discusses the
journey toward transparency in central bank communication. Issing
traces the development of transparency, examining the Bank of
England as an example of extreme reticence and European Central
Bank's President Mario Draghi as a practitioner of effective
communication. He argues that the ultimate goal of central bank
communication is to make monetary policy more effective, and
describes the practice and theory of communication as an
evolutionary process. For a long time, the Federal Reserve never
made its monetary policy decisions public; the European Central
Bank, on the other hand, had to adopt a modern communication
strategy from the outset. Issing discusses the importance of
guiding expectations in central bank communication, and points to
financial markets as the most important recipients of this
communication. He discusses the obligations of accountability and
transparency, although he notes that total transparency is a
"mirage." Issing argues that the central message to the public must
always be that the stability of a nation's currency is the bank's
priority.
Based on lectures given as part of The Stone Lectures in Economics,
this book discusses the problem of formulating monetary policy in
practice, under the uncertain circumstances which characterize the
real world. The first lecture highlights the limitations of
decision rules suggested by the academic literature and recommends
an approach involving, first, a firm reliance on the few
fundamental and robust results of monetary economics and, secondly,
a pragmatic attitude to policy implementation, taking into
consideration lessons from central banking experience. The second
lecture revisits Milton Friedman's questions about the effects of
active stabilization policies on business cycle fluctuations. It
explores the implications of a simple model where the policy maker
has imperfect knowledge about potential output and the private
sector forms expectations according to adaptive learning. This
lecture shows that imperfect knowledge limits the scope for active
stabilization policy and strengthens the case for conservatism.
CONTENTS: The Lessons of History; Stages of European Integration;
The Role of Monetary Policy in the Integration Process; Common
Currency as Pace-Setter for Political Union; The Labour Market
& Social Union; Compensatory transfers; Possible Political
Tensions; Institutional Arrangements & 'Good Money from
Outside'; The Difficulties & Risks of Monetary Union; Barriers
Against Deficits & Debts; Constitutional restraints;
Ambivalence of the Political Union; Summary.
English summary: In his presentation, Otmar Issing highlights the
crisis of the European Monetary Union, which for him is not
equivalent to a crisis of the Euro. He describes the current
situation with a critical eye and urges people to see the crisis as
an opportunity. Other than a brief description of Europe - Where
does Europe begin, where does it end? - the book includes notes on
European integration and the monetary union, as well as an analysis
of the current economic and political situation. German text.
German description: Otmar Issing beleuchtet in seinem Vortrag die
Krise der Europaischen Wahrungsunion, die fuer ihn nicht mit einer
Krise des Euro gleichzusetzen ist. Mit kritischem Blick beschreibt
er die derzeitige Situation und pladiert dafuer, die Krise als
Chance zu sehen. Ausser einer kurzen Beschreibung Europas - aWo
fangt Europa an, wo hort es auf? - finden sich in dem Band sowohl
Erlauterungen zur europaischen Integration und zur Wahrungsunion
als auch Analysen der aktuellen wirtschaftlichen und politischen
Lage.
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