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Books > Money & Finance > Investment & securities

Authoritarian Capitalism - Sovereign Wealth Funds and State-Owned Enterprises in East Asia and Beyond (Hardcover): Richard W.... Authoritarian Capitalism - Sovereign Wealth Funds and State-Owned Enterprises in East Asia and Beyond (Hardcover)
Richard W. Carney
R2,634 Discovery Miles 26 340 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Since 1945, the liberal-democratic model of capitalism spread across the globe, ultimately prevailing over communism. Over the past two decades, a new statist-authoritarian model has begun diffusing across East Asia. Rather than rejecting capitalism, authoritarian leaders harness it to uphold their rule. Based on extensive research of East Asia's largest corporations and sovereign wealth funds, this book argues that the most aggressive version of this model does not belong to China. Rather, it can be found in Malaysia and Singapore. Although these countries are small, the implications are profound because one-third of all countries in the world possess the same type of regime. With an increasing number of these authoritarian regimes establishing sovereign wealth funds, their ability to intervene in the corporate sectors of other countries is rapidly expanding.

The Complete Financial History of Berkshire Hathaway - A Chronological Analysis of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger's... The Complete Financial History of Berkshire Hathaway - A Chronological Analysis of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger's Conglomerate Masterpiece (Hardcover)
Adam J. Mead
R1,304 Discovery Miles 13 040 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

For the first time the complete financial history of Berkshire Hathaway is available under one cover in chronological format. Beginning at the origins of the predecessor companies in the textile industry, the reader can examine the development of the modern-day conglomerate year-by-year and decade-by-decade, watching as the struggling textile company morphs into what it has become today. This comprehensive analysis distils over 10,000 pages of research material, including Buffett's Chairman's letters, Berkshire Hathaway annual reports and SEC filings, annual meeting transcripts, subsidiary financials, and more. The analysis of each year is supplemented with Buffett's own commentary where relevant, and examines all important acquisitions, investments, and other capital allocation decisions. The appendices contain balance sheets, income statements, statements of cash flows, and key ratios dating back to the 1930s, materials brought together for the first time. The structure of the book allows the new student to follow the logic, reasoning, and capital allocation decisions made by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger from the very beginning. Existing Berkshire shareholders and long-time observers will find new information and refreshing analysis, and a convenient reference guide to the decades of financial moves that built the modern-day respected enterprise that is Berkshire Hathaway.

Beyond Junk Bonds - Expanding High Yield Markets (Hardcover): Glenn Yago, Susanne Trimbath Beyond Junk Bonds - Expanding High Yield Markets (Hardcover)
Glenn Yago, Susanne Trimbath
R1,127 R996 Discovery Miles 9 960 Save R131 (12%) Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Since financial myths exploded in the 1980s, the perspective of time creates a unique opportunity to update and expand the analysis begun in Glenn Yagos 1991 book, Junk Bonds: How High Yield Securities Restructured Corporate America (Oxford University Press). At the time of its publication, Junk Bonds drew controversial responses from the Federal Reserve and government agencies. In retrospect, the evidence clearly casts favorable light on the role of high yield securities. The research presented here demonstrates how financial innovations enabled capital access for industrial restructuring, capital and labor productivity gains, and improved global competitiveness. Enough time has now passed to allow this dispassionate empirical analysis to shear away the hype and hysteria that surrounded the Wall Street scandals, Washington controversies, and media frenzy of the time.

Beyond Junk Bonds provides a one-stop data, reference and case study presentation of the firms and securities in the contemporary high yield market and the financial innovations that spurred growth in the nineties and will continue to finance the future. The high yield market incubated successive waves of financial technologies that now proliferate beyond junk bonds to all the dimensions and dynamics of global debt and equity capital markets. It charts the recovery of the market in the 1990s, the recent wave of fallen angels, distressed credits and defaults, and suggests how the high yield market will be recreated in the global market of the 21st century. It explicates the linkages between the high yield market, and other credit and equity markets in managing a firms capital structure to execute its business strategy. The weakening of the U. S. economy in 2001 and the huge shock to Wall Street from the terrorist attacks of September 11 witnessed a historic increase in the yield to maturity of high yield bonds. Despite the volatility in the flow of funds to high yield mutual funds and occasionally sharp increases in non-investment grade debt yields, the asset class has been one of the best performing fixed income investments of the past decades. In fact, high yield bonds offer an attractive risk-reward ratio competitive with more traditional asset classes.

Anyone active in corporate finance, financial institutions and capital markets will find this book a must read for interpreting and understanding the recent history both of the high yield marketplace and its interaction with private equity, public equity, and fixed income markets. This new perspective recalling the ten years after the explosion of financial myths in the 1980's offers a unique opportunity to update and continue the arguments that were presented in Glen Yago's 1991 book, Junk Bonds: How High Yield Securities Restructured Corporate America. Beyond Junk Bonds provides a comprehensive presentation of the firms and securities represented in the high yield market. In addition, there are examples of the firms and institutions who are benefitting from the "new cycle", both in the US and abroad.

The Three Skills of Top Trading - Behavioral Systems Building, Pattern Recognition and Mental State Management (Hardcover): H... The Three Skills of Top Trading - Behavioral Systems Building, Pattern Recognition and Mental State Management (Hardcover)
H Pruden
R2,216 R1,749 Discovery Miles 17 490 Save R467 (21%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Praise for The Three Skills of Top Trading

"Professor Pruden's new book, The Three Skills of Top Trading, is unquestionably the best book on a specific trading method and the necessary attributes for trading that I have read. His logic, understanding of human foibles, and use of the Wyckoff method of trading are broadly referenced, readable, understandable, and entertaining."
-- Charles D. Kirkpatrick, II, CMT, coauthor of

Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, Editor of the Journal of Technical Analysis, and board member of the Market Technicians Association

"At long last, someone has taken the time and effort to bring the work and insight of Wyckoff to wider public attention--and Hank Pruden has done so masterfully, with great clarity and eloquence. Hank has taken the best of Wyckoff's work, combining it with the essential aspects of trader discipline and psychology, to provide a highly readable and particularly useful guide to trading. MUST READING!"
-- Jacob Bernstein, www.trade-futures.com

"Hank Pruden puts all of the elements needed for successful trading into one volume. This book not only belongs on every trader's shelf but should be close enough for continuous reference."
-- Martin J. Pring, President, www.Pring.com

"Dr. Pruden has brought together his lifetime of work in developing a modern approach to analyzing and trading the markets built upon classic market analysis from the early part of the twentieth century and topped off with modern-day tenets of behavioral finance and mental state management."
-- Thom Hartle, Director of Marketing for CQG, Inc. (www.cqg.com)

"I usually consider a book to bewell worth reading if it gives me one paradigm shift. I believe that this book will give the average investor a lot more than just one."
-- Van K. Tharp, PhD, President, Van Tharp Institute

Global Stock Market Integration - Co-Movement, Crises, and Efficiency in Developed and Emerging Markets (Hardcover, 1st ed.... Global Stock Market Integration - Co-Movement, Crises, and Efficiency in Developed and Emerging Markets (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2015)
Sabur Mollah, Asma Mobarek
R2,787 R1,825 Discovery Miles 18 250 Save R962 (35%) Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Stock market integration between developing and emerging markets has numerous benefits for creating a global - yet stable - world economy. It increases competition and the efficiency of local markets, in turn reducing price volatility and the cost of capital among integrated markets. It also generates capital flows, which enhance financial stability and spur economic growth. At its core, stock market integration has an important role to play in both developing and emerging markets still reeling from the global financial crisis. Global Stock Market Integration analyzes the financial makeup of developing and emerging markets around the world, providing empirical insights into market integration, co-movements in price, crises, and efficiency linkages. Mobarek and Mollah argue that the relationship between market integration and market efficiency within developing and emerging countries is not the only measure necessary for effecting real financial growth. This work brings the review of theories and empirical research on the topic up-to-date and expands the existing literature with new perspectives on developed and emerging markets.

Supply and Demand Trading - How To Master The Trading Zones (Hardcover): Frank Miller Supply and Demand Trading - How To Master The Trading Zones (Hardcover)
Frank Miller
R506 Discovery Miles 5 060 Ships in 12 - 17 working days
Private Equity and Venture Capital in Europe - Markets, Techniques, and Deals (Paperback, 3rd edition): Stefano Caselli, Giulia... Private Equity and Venture Capital in Europe - Markets, Techniques, and Deals (Paperback, 3rd edition)
Stefano Caselli, Giulia Negri
R1,709 Discovery Miles 17 090 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Private Equity and Venture Capital in Europe: Markets, Techniques, and Deals, Third Edition introduces private equity, investments and venture capital markets while also presenting new information surrounding the core of private equity, including secondary markets, private debt, PPP within private equity, crowdfunding, venture philanthropy, impact investing, and more. Every chapter has been updated with new data, cases, examples, sections and chapters that illuminate elements unique to the European model. With the help of new pedagogical materials, this updated edition provides marketable insights about valuation and deal-making not available elsewhere. As the private equity world continues to undergo many challenges and opportunities, this book presents both fundamentals and advanced topics that will help readers stay informed on market evolution.

Foreign Direct Investment: Firm and Host Country Strategies - Firm and Host Country Strategies (Hardcover, 2000 Ed.): Magnus... Foreign Direct Investment: Firm and Host Country Strategies - Firm and Host Country Strategies (Hardcover, 2000 Ed.)
Magnus Blomstr?m, Ari Kokko, Mario Zejan
R2,927 Discovery Miles 29 270 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The behavior of multinational corporations and their affiliates, and the impact of foreign direct investment on host economics, vary between countries and industries in a systematic way. MNCs select their strategies depending on the characteristics of their technologies and products. Some host country governments try simultaneously to influence behavior of the foreign MNC's operating in their territory. The effects of (FDI) on the host economy are determined by this intricate interplay of firm and host country strategies. This book summarizes more than a decade of research aiming to understand this interplay.

Trading Secrets - 20 hard and fast rules to help you beat the stock market (Paperback): Simon Thompson Trading Secrets - 20 hard and fast rules to help you beat the stock market (Paperback)
Simon Thompson 1
R509 R465 Discovery Miles 4 650 Save R44 (9%) Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Have you ever wondered how the top City traders make big profits from share trading? Do you know why the best investors know exactly when the market is going to rise or fall? And do you wish you could do the same?

By following 20 hard and fast rules, "Trading Secrets" shows you how you can make the same high returns as experienced investors and traders. Using historical, economic and technical trend analysis from the last fifty years, it identifies the ways for you to capitalise on such events as the clocks going back or moving forward, religious holidays, major sporting events and even the US presidential election.

Written for both experienced investors and also those with little knowledge of the stock market, Simon Thompson's practical investing guide offers trading strategies that you can use over the short-term or the long-term. For instance, do you know how daylight changes affect how the stock market performs and, more importantly, how to make big gains by trading on this knowledge? Or do you know which sector has massively outperformed the market in the first quarter of the year - posting a quarterly return of 12 per cent - in all bar four years in the past three decades?

Trading Secrets uncovers all and more importantly explains why these trends occur, so that you can be confident your investments will pay off, even when the market is falling.

The Richest Man in Babylon (Hardcover): George S. Clason The Richest Man in Babylon (Hardcover)
George S. Clason
R543 Discovery Miles 5 430 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar - The Technical Analysis of Price Action for the Serious Trader (Hardcover): A. Brooks Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar - The Technical Analysis of Price Action for the Serious Trader (Hardcover)
A. Brooks
R2,099 R1,336 Discovery Miles 13 360 Save R763 (36%) Ships in 12 - 17 working days

While new technology and complicated theories promise to take your trading to "the next level," the truth is that long-term success in this field is rooted in simplicity. That's why Al Brooks has created "Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar."

With this book, Brooks--a technical analyst for Futures magazine and an independent trader--demonstrates how applying price action analysis to chart patterns can help enhance returns and minimize downside risk. Along the way, you'll discover the importance of understanding every bar on a price chart, why particular patterns are reliable setups for trades, and how to locate entry and exit points as markets are trading in real time.

Throughout these pages, some of the most useful tools for deciphering price action are covered in detail, including:

Trendlines and trend channel lines

Prior highs and lows

Breakouts and failed breakouts

The size of bodies and tails on candles

The relationship between current bars to prior bars

And much more

Learning what the market is telling you can be difficult, but with the right approach, you can achieve this goal and capture consistent profits in the process. "Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar" has all the information you need to succeed at this endeavor and will put you in the best position possible to make the most of your time in today's turbulent markets.

Praise for "Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar"

"Al Brooks has written a book every day trader should read. On all levels, he has kept trading simple, straightforward, and approachable. By teaching traders that there are no rules, just guidelines, he has allowed basic common sense to once again rule how real traders should approach the market. This is a must-read for any trader that wants to learn his own path to success."
--Noble DraKoln, founder ofwww.SpeculatorAcademy.com and author of "Trade Like a Pro" and "Winning the Trading Game"

"Al Brooks is a trader's trader. He understands the focused energy it takes to be successful at trading and works long, hard hours in front of the computer screen to beat the markets. In his first trading book, he outlines, selflessly, his strategy step by step. A doctor and educator in his previous life, he uses his eye for detail and transfers lessons he learned in training himself on the art of trading to the written page. For those who are willing to delve into the details of day trading and dedicate the time and energy to do it seriously and most likely profitably, Al Brooks's book "Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar," is a must-read."
--Ginger Szala, Publisher and Editorial Director, "Futures" magazine

The Rise and Fall of Abacus Banking in Japan and China (Hardcover): Yuko Arayama, Panos Mourdoukoutas The Rise and Fall of Abacus Banking in Japan and China (Hardcover)
Yuko Arayama, Panos Mourdoukoutas
R2,831 Discovery Miles 28 310 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Bankers in Japan and China are masters of accounting, not risk management, and American-style rescue packages won't solve their banking crises. Cleaning up balance sheets and purging non-performing loans won't work either, say Arayama and Mourdoukoutas. The problem goes deeper. It stems from high growth environments and tight government regulation. The result has been to limit competition in Japan and eliminate it in China. And that led to the control of management behavior, which weakened incentives for Japanese and Chinese bank decision-makers to manage, hands-on, their traditional and nontraditional banking risks. Adding to the problem is rationed credit, reflecting MITI and MOF priorities in Japan and those set by the central planning authorities in China. Japanese bankers have been turned into experts on the abacus, the ancient calculator, but they have little experience with or understanding of the other more important aspects of the banking enterprise. Arayama and Mourdoukoutas lay it all out in a challenging, provocative, readable study and analysis. It is an essential resource for academicians and policymakers in business, government, and international finance and investment.

Arayama and Mourdoukoutas make it clear that Japanese and Chinese bankers must learn how to behave as for-profit institutions, where managers are accountable to the owners and other stakeholders. Second, they must be freed from government directives (in China) and guidance (in Japan) that control their day-to-day operations, and which restrict freedom to develop new products and businesses. Third, Japanese and Chinese bank managers must learn to act as true bankers. They must learn how to manage credit risk and function as public trading corporations. They must also learn how to deal with transparency and full disclosure rules and regulations, just as their Western counterparts must and do. In other words, say the authors, bank managers must escape the abacus mentality and learn how to use their brains rather than their fingers... and that may take much longer than anxious Western observers would have expected.

Investing Profitably - My Course For You (Hardcover): John David Campbell Investing Profitably - My Course For You (Hardcover)
John David Campbell
R598 Discovery Miles 5 980 Ships in 12 - 17 working days
Advances in Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, Volume 4 (Hardcover): Cheng-Few Lee Advances in Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, Volume 4 (Hardcover)
Cheng-Few Lee
R2,327 Discovery Miles 23 270 Ships in 12 - 17 working days
The Trustee Guide to Investment (Hardcover): A. Clare, C. Wagstaff The Trustee Guide to Investment (Hardcover)
A. Clare, C. Wagstaff
R1,769 R1,652 Discovery Miles 16 520 Save R117 (7%) Ships in 12 - 17 working days

No one ever said pension scheme trusteeship was easy. Indeed, this is particularly true with regard to the investment aspects of trusteeship, with its many nuances and often mystifying jargon and terminology. Trustees must strive to improve upon their skill, expertise and organisational effectiveness in determining and monitoring a scheme's investment strategy, because simplicity in many aspects of trusteeship and investment are continually giving way to increased complexity. Written by two renowned and highly experienced industry practitioners, with a mission to advance trustees' investment knowledge and to provide them with the necessary confidence and competence to adopt an advanced level of investment governance for their scheme, The Trustee Guide to Investment is a uniquely and refreshingly objective and practical guide to the ever expanding range of markets, investments, tools and techniques to which pension scheme trustees are increasingly exposed by their fund managers and advisers.

The Japanese Stock Market - Pricing Systems and Accounting Information (Hardcover): S Fukuda, Shigeki Sakakibara, Hisakats... The Japanese Stock Market - Pricing Systems and Accounting Information (Hardcover)
S Fukuda, Shigeki Sakakibara, Hisakats Sakurai, Kengo Shiroshita, Hidetosh Yamaji
R1,678 Discovery Miles 16 780 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This timely volume brings together professors of finance and accounting from Japanese universities to examine the Japanese stock market in terms of its pricing and accounting systems. The papers report the results of empirical research into the Japanese stock market within the framework of new theories of finance. Academics, professionals, and anyone seeking to understand or enter the Japanese market will applaud the publication of this practical, informative volume.

Having gathered data from the late 1970's through 1984, the authors analyze the market's behavior and the applicability of two major theoretical pricing models -- the Capital Asset Pricing Models and the Efficient Market Hypothesis -- to that market. Chapter 1 provides background statistical evidence on the behavior of monthly returns on Tokyo Stock Exchange common stocks. Chapter 2 discusses an empirical test of the capital asset pricing model. Chapter 3 examines evidence on the price performance of unseasoned new issues. The authors also examine the Japanese accounting disclosure system: Chapter 4 deals empirically with the information content of the annual accounting announcements and related market efficiency. The next chapter presents empirical evidence on the relationship between unsystematic returns and earnings forecast errors. Next, empirical research into the usefulness to investors of the disclosure system is examined. Finally, Chapter 7 presents several interesting questions and topics for future research on the Japanese stock market.

45 Years in Wall Street (Hardcover): W.D. Gann 45 Years in Wall Street (Hardcover)
W.D. Gann
R781 R562 Discovery Miles 5 620 Save R219 (28%) Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Many have written requesting me to write a new book. With the desire to help others I have written "45 Years in Wall Street" giving the benefit of my experience and my new discoveries to aid others in these difficult times. I am now in my 72nd year; fame would do me no good. I have more income than I can spend for my needs; therefore, my only object in writing this new book is to give to others the most valuable gift possible--KNOWLEDGE! If a few find the way to make safer investments my object will have been accomplished and satisfied readers will be my reward.

In this book I have revealed some of my most valuable rules and secret discoveries never published before, in hopes that others will work and study hard to learn and apply these rules. If they do, speculation and investing will no longer be gambling but will become a PROFITABLE PROFESSION.

W. D. Gann

The Practical Guide to Wall Street - Equities and Derivatives (Hardcover): M Tagliani The Practical Guide to Wall Street - Equities and Derivatives (Hardcover)
M Tagliani
R1,799 R1,450 Discovery Miles 14 500 Save R349 (19%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

"The Practical Guide to Wall Street" is an indispensable resource for anyone who aspires to a front-office sales or trading position on Wall Street and an essential desk reference for market practitioners and those who interact with this exciting but widely misunderstood industry. Written by an experienced trader in a clear, conversational style and assuming no previous background in finance, The Practical Guide to Wall Street provides a thorough schooling in the core curriculum of the equity and equity derivatives sales and trading business - exactly what you would learn from sitting beside the traders at a tier-one Wall Street investment bank (except that in practice, traders rarely have time to provide such detailed explanations!) Topics covered include: Clear, detailed and intuitive explanations of all major products, their function, pricing and risks (several of which are unavailable anywhere else despite producing billions of dollars in annual revenue for Wall St.) The layout of the trading floor, the roles and responsibilities of the different sales and trading groups and how they interact to service the client business An overview of the structure of the macro-economy and the trader's perspective on the significance of economic data releases and their impact on the financial markets A review of those concepts from fundamental valuation and financial statement analysis of greatest relevance on the trading floor (as opposed to abstract valuation models) Practical details of the structure and functioning of the equity and derivative markets including translations of trader jargon, Bloomberg tips, market conventions, liquidity and risk considerations and much more...

This bookprovides the first comprehensive explanation of all aspects of the functioning of the equities division, with information, details and insights previously only available to those who already worked on a trading floor. The availability of this material in a format accessible to non-professionals fundamentally changes the level of industry knowledge employers in the financial services industry can expect of new hires.

The Half Millionaire Real Estate Agent - The 52 Secrets to Making a Half Million Dollars a Year While Working a 20-Hour Work... The Half Millionaire Real Estate Agent - The 52 Secrets to Making a Half Million Dollars a Year While Working a 20-Hour Work Week (Hardcover)
Brian Ernst
R636 R546 Discovery Miles 5 460 Save R90 (14%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Day Trading for Beginners - The Complete Guide on How to Become a Profitable Trader Using These Proven Day Trading Techniques... Day Trading for Beginners - The Complete Guide on How to Become a Profitable Trader Using These Proven Day Trading Techniques and Strategies. Includes Stocks, Options, ETFs, Forex & Futures (Hardcover)
Adam Edwards
R617 R524 Discovery Miles 5 240 Save R93 (15%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Foreign Investment in China (Hardcover): F. Li Foreign Investment in China (Hardcover)
F. Li
R2,955 Discovery Miles 29 550 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

China's opening up has unleashed lucrative opportunities to foreign investors. However, doing business in China is far more difficult than many people have anticipated. Using a new theoretical framework and comprehensive evidence, this book systematically examines China's hard and soft investment environment for FDI. Main problems encountered by investors are also investigated. The book is an essential guide to investors in avoiding common and expensive pitfalls of doing business in China and an invaluable reference for consultants, researchers and students in understanding the Chinese market.

The Intention Journal - The Powerful, Research-Backed Planner for Achieving Your Big Investing Goals in Just Ninety Days... The Intention Journal - The Powerful, Research-Backed Planner for Achieving Your Big Investing Goals in Just Ninety Days (Paperback)
Brandon Turner
R1,016 R852 Discovery Miles 8 520 Save R164 (16%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Handbook of Corporate Equity Derivatives and Equity Capital Markets (Hardcover): J Ramirez Handbook of Corporate Equity Derivatives and Equity Capital Markets (Hardcover)
J Ramirez
R2,036 Discovery Miles 20 360 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Equity strategies are closely guarded secrets and as such, there is very little written about how investors and corporate can utilise equity vehicles as part of their growth strategies. In this much-needed book, industry expert Juan Ramiraz guides readers through the whole range of equity derivative instruments, showing how they can be applied to a range of equity capital market situations, including hedging, yield enhancement and disposal of strategic stakes, mergers and acquisitions, stock options plan hedging, equity financings, share buybacks and other transactions on treasury shares, bank regulatory capital arbitrage and tax driven situations. The book includes case studies to highlight how equity derivative strategies have been used in real-life situations.

New Methods in Financial Modeling - Explorations and Applications (Hardcover): Hugh Neuburger, Houston H. Stokes New Methods in Financial Modeling - Explorations and Applications (Hardcover)
Hugh Neuburger, Houston H. Stokes
R2,268 Discovery Miles 22 680 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The authors present a number of financial market studies that have as their general theme, the econometric testing of the underlying econometric assumptions of a number of financial models. More than 30 years of financial market research has convinced the authors that not enough attention has been paid to whether the estimated model is appropriate or, most importantly, whether the estimation technique is suitable for the problem under study. For many years linear models have been assumed with little or no testing of alternative specification. The result has been models that force linearity assumptions on what clearly are nonlinear processes. Another major assumption of much financial research constrains the coefficients to be stable over time. This critical assumption has been attacked by Lucas (1976) on the grounds that when economic policy changes, the coefficients of macroeconomics models change. If this occurs, any policy forecasts of these models will be flawed. In financial modeling, omitted (possibly non-quantifiable) variables will bias coefficients. While it may be possible to model some financial variables for extended periods, in other periods the underlying models may either exhibit nonlinearity or show changes in linear models. The authors research indicates that tests for changes in linear models, such as recursive residual analysis, or tests for episodic nonlinearity can be used to signal changes in the underlying structure of the market.

The book begins with a brief review of basic linear time series techniques that include autoregressive integrated moving average models (ARIMA), vector autoregressive models (VAR), and models form the ARCH/GARCH class. While the ARIMA and VAR approach models the first moment of a series, models of the ARCH/GARCH class model both the first moment and second moment which is interpreted as conditional or explained volatility of a series. Recent work on nonlinearity detection has questioned the appropriateness of these essentially linear approaches. A number of such tests are shown and applied for the complete series and a subsets of the series. A major finding is that the structure of the series may change over time. Within the time frame of a study, there may be periods of episodic nonlinearity, episodic ARCH and episodic nonstationarity. Measures are developed to measure and relate these events both geographically and with mathematical models. This book will be of interest to applied finance researchers and to market participants.

The Invisible Deal - Why Mobile Homes Are The Perfect Investment and how to Flip, Wholesale, and Rent Them (Hardcover): Mateo... The Invisible Deal - Why Mobile Homes Are The Perfect Investment and how to Flip, Wholesale, and Rent Them (Hardcover)
Mateo Nicolas
R574 R489 Discovery Miles 4 890 Save R85 (15%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days
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