This book develops systematically and rigorously, yet in an expository and lively manner, the evolution of general random processes and their large time properties such as transience, recurrence, and convergence to steady states. The emphasis is on the most important classes of these processes from the viewpoint of theory as well as applications, namely, Markov processes. It features very broad coverage of the most applicable aspects of stochastic processes, including sufficient material for self-contained courses on random walk in one and multiple dimensions; Markov chains in discrete and continuous times, including birth-death processes; Brownian motion and diffusions; stochastic optimization; and stochastic differential equations. Most results are presented with complete proofs, while some very technical matters are relegated to a Theoretical Complements section at the end of each chapter in order not to impede the flow of the material. Chapter Applications, as well as numerous extensively worked examples, illustrate important applications of the subject to various fields of science, engineering, economics, and applied mathematics. The essentials of measure theoretic probability are included in an appendix to complete some of the more technical aspects of the text.

This friendly guide is the companion you need to convert pure mathematics into understanding and facility with a host of probabilistic tools. The book provides a high-level view of probability and its most powerful applications. It begins with the basic rules of probability and quickly progresses to some of the most sophisticated modern techniques in use, including Kalman filters, Monte Carlo techniques, machine learning methods, Bayesian inference and stochastic processes. It draws on thirty years of experience in applying probabilistic methods to problems in computational science and engineering, and numerous practical examples illustrate where these techniques are used in the real world. Topics of discussion range from carbon dating to Wasserstein GANs, one of the most recent developments in Deep Learning. The underlying mathematics is presented in full, but clarity takes priority over complete rigour, making this text a starting reference source for researchers and a readable overview for students.

This book contains the general description of the mathematical pendulum subject to constant torque, periodic and random forces. The latter appear in additive and multiplicative form with their possible correlation. For the underdamped pendulum driven by periodic forces, a new phenomenon - deterministic chaos - comes into play, and the common action of this chaos and the influence of noise are taken into account. The inverted position of the pendulum can be stabilized either by periodic or random oscillations of the suspension axis or by inserting a spring into a rigid rod, or by their combination. The pendulum is one of the simplest nonlinear models, which has many applications in physics, chemistry, biology, medicine, communications, economics and sociology. A wide group of researchers working in these fields, along with students and teachers, will benefit from this book.

This accessible treatment offers the mathematical tools for describing and solving problems related to stochastic vector fields. Advanced undergraduates and graduate students will find its use of generalized functions a relatively simple method of resolving mathematical questions. It will prove a valuable reference for applied mathematicians and professionals in the fields of aerospace, chemical, civil, and nuclear engineering.
The author, Professor Emeritus of Engineering at Cornell University, starts with a survey of probability distributions and densities and proceeds to examinations of moments, characteristic functions, and the Gaussian distribution; random functions; and random processes in more dimensions. Extensive appendixes--which include information on Fourier transforms, tensors, generalized functions, and invariant theory--contribute toward making this volume mathematically self-contained.

This volume is based on talks given at a conference celebrating Stanislav Molchanov's 65th birthday held in June of 2005 at the Centre de Recherches Mathematiques (Montreal, QC, Canada). The meeting brought together researchers working in an exceptionally wide range of topics reflecting the quality and breadth of Molchanov's past and present research accomplishments. This collection of survey and research papers gives a glance of the profound consequences of Molchanov's contributions in stochastic differential equations, spectral theory for deterministic and random operators, localization and intermittency, mathematical physics and optics, and other topics. Information for our distributors: Titles in this series are co-published with the Centre de Recherches Mathematiques.

A self-contained treatment, this text covers both theory and applications. Topics include homogeneous finite and infinite Markov chains, including those employed in the mathematical modeling of psychology and genetics; the basics of nonhomogeneous finite Markov chain theory; and a study of Markovian dependence in continuous time. 1980 edition.

Fluctuating parameters appear in a variety of physical systems and phenomena. They typically come either as random forces/sources, or advecting velocities, or media (material) parameters, like refraction index, conductivity, diffusivity, etc. The well known example of Brownian particle suspended in fluid and subjected to random molecular bombardment laid the foundation for modern stochastic calculus and statistical physics. Other important examples include turbulent transport and diffusion of particle-tracers (pollutants), or continuous densities (''oil slicks''), wave propagation and scattering in randomly inhomogeneous media, for instance light or sound propagating in the turbulent atmosphere.
Such models naturally render to statistical description, where the input parameters and solutions are expressed by random processes and fields.
The fundamental problem of stochastic dynamics is to identify the essential characteristics of system (its state and evolution), and relate those to the input parameters of the system and initial data.
This raises a host of challenging mathematical issues. One could rarely solve such systems exactly (or approximately) in a closed analytic form, and their solutions depend in a complicated implicit manner on the initial-boundary data, forcing and system's (media) parameters . In mathematical terms such solution becomes a complicated "nonlinear functional" of random fields and processes.
Part I gives mathematical formulation for the basic physical models of transport, diffusion, propagation and develops some analytic tools.
Part II sets up and applies the techniques of variational calculus and stochastic analysis, like Fokker-Plank equation to those models, to produce exact or approximate solutions, or in worst case numeric procedures. The exposition is motivated and demonstrated with numerous examples.
Part III takes up issues for the coherent phenomena in stochastic dynamical systems, described by ordinary and partial differential equations, like wave propagation in randomly layered media (localization), turbulent advection of passive tracers (clustering).
Each chapter is appended with problems the reader to solve by himself (herself), which will be a good training for independent investigations.
.This book is translation from Russian and is completed with new principal results of recent research.
.The book develops mathematical tools of stochastic analysis, and applies them to a wide range of physical models of particles, fluids, and waves.
.Accessible to a broad audience with general background in mathematical physics, but no special expertise in stochastic analysis, wave propagation or turbulence"

This monograph addresses the problem of "real-time" curve fitting in the presence of noise, from the computational and statistical viewpoints. It examines the problem of nonlinear regression, where observations are made on a time series whose mean-value function is known except for a vector parameter. In contrast to the traditional formulation, data are imagined to arrive in temporal succession. The estimation is carried out in real time so that, at each instant, the parameter estimate fully reflects all available data.Specifically, the monograph focuses on estimator sequences of the so-called differential correction type. The term "differential correction" refers to the fact that the difference between the components of the updated and previous estimators is proportional to the difference between the current observation and the value that would be predicted by the regression function if the previous estimate were in fact the true value of the unknown vector parameter. The vector of proportionality factors (which is generally time varying and can depend upon previous estimates) is called the "gain" or "smoothing" vector.The main purpose of this research is to relate the large-sample statistical behavior of such estimates (consistency, rate of convergence, large-sample distribution theory, asymptotic efficiency) to the properties of the regression function and the choice of smoothing vectors. Furthermore, consideration is given to the tradeoff that can be effected between computational simplicity and statistical efficiency through the choice of gains.Part I deals with the special cases of an unknown scalar parameter-discussing probability-one and mean-square convergence, rates of mean-square convergence, and asymptotic distribution theory of the estimators for various choices of the smoothing sequence. Part II examines the probability-one and mean-square convergence of the estimators in the vector case for various choices of smoothing vectors. Examples are liberally sprinkled throughout the book. Indeed, the last chapter is devoted entirely to the discussion of examples at varying levels of generality.If one views the stochastic approximation literature as a study in the asymptotic behavior of solutions to a certain class of nonlinear first-order difference equations with stochastic driving terms, then the results of this monograph also serve to extend and complement many of the results in that literature, which accounts for the authors' choice of title.The book is written at the first-year graduate level, although this level of maturity is not required uniformly. Certainly the reader should understand the concept of a limit both in the deterministic and probabilistic senses (i.e., almost sure and quadratic mean convergence). This much will assure a comfortable journey through the first fourth of the book. Chapters 4 and 5 require an acquaintance with a few selected central limit theorems. A familiarity with the standard techniques of large-sample theory will also prove useful but is not essential. Part II, Chapters 6 through 9, is couched in the language of matrix algebra, but none of the "classical" results used are deep. The reader who appreciates the elementary properties of eigenvalues, eigenvectors, and matrix norms will feel at home.MIT Press Research Monograph No. 42

The computer age has spawned a whole new discipline of Computational Physics, a branch of physics known for its dynamic nature as opposed to the more traditional branches of experimental and theoretical physics. Within the field, the topic that has "inflated" the most with the rise of the computer is that of Stochastic Simulation, more colourfully known by its distinguished proponents, Fermi, von Neumann, Metropolis, Ulam and others such as the Monte Carlo method. Kevin MacKeown's book, the ideas of which had evolved from 15 years of teaching a final year undergraduate course on Computational Physics, serves to summarise in one volume the past and latest developments of the stochastic phenomena in the context of physics. The "teaching" approach follows a less conventional one in that there is no canon to be followed in the field. Instead, the topics are chosen to give a feeling for the breadth of applications of Monte Carlo methods in physics. Substantial references to research literature are also provided. This book is an essential reference to students wishing to gain a more technical interest in the subject as a way of getting quatitative answers to a problem. The level of knowledge of physics assumed corresponds to a that of a final year undergraduate student, but postgraduate students in a number of disciplines should also find the material of value.

This text develops an introductory and relatively simple account of the theory and application of the evolutionary type of stochastic process. Professor Bailey adopts the heuristic approach of applied mathematics and develops both theoretical principles and applied techniques simultaneously.

Dieses vierfarbige Lehrbuch wendet sich an Student(inn)en der Mathematik in Bachelor-Studiengangen. Es bietet eine fundierte, lebendige und mit diversen Erklarvideos audiovisuell erweiterte Einfuhrung sowohl in die Stochastik einschliesslich der Mathematischen Statistik als auch der Mass- und Integrationstheorie. Durch besondere didaktische Elemente eignet es sich insbesondere zum Selbststudium und als vorlesungsbegleitender Text. Herausragende Merkmale sind: durchgangig vierfarbiges Layout mit mehr als 140 Abbildungen pragnant formulierte Kerngedanken bilden die Abschnittsuberschriften Selbsttests ermoeglichen Lernkontrollen wahrend des Lesens farbige Merkkasten heben das Wichtigste hervor "Unter-der-Lupe"-Boxen zoomen in Beweise hinein, motivieren und erklaren Details "Hintergrund-und-Ausblick"-Boxen betrachten weiterfuhrende Gesichtspunkte Zusammenfassungen zu jedem Kapitel sowie UEbersichtsboxen mehr als 330 UEbungsaufgaben zahlreiche uber QR-Codes verlinkte Erklarvideos Die Inhalte dieses Buches basieren groesstenteils auf dem Werk "Grundwissen Mathematikstudium - Hoehere Analysis, Numerik und Stochastik", werden aber wegen der curricularen Bedeutung hiermit in vollstandig uberarbeiteter Form als eigenstandiges Werk veroeffentlicht.

Dieses Buch verschafft Ihnen einen UEberblick uber einige der bekanntesten Verfahren des maschinellen Lernens aus der Perspektive der mathematischen Statistik. Nach der Lekture kennen Sie die jeweils gestellten Forderungen an die Daten sowie deren Vor- und Nachteile und sind daher in der Lage, fur ein gegebenes Problem ein geeignetes Verfahren vorzuschlagen. Beweise werden nur dort ausfuhrlich dargestellt oder skizziert, wo sie einen didaktischen Mehrwert bieten - ansonsten wird auf die entsprechenden Fachartikel verwiesen. Fur die praktische Anwendung ist ein genaueres Studium des jeweiligen Verfahrens und der entsprechenden Fachliteratur noetig, zu der Sie auf Basis dieses Buchs aber schnell Zugang finden. Das Buch richtet sich an Studierende der Mathematik hoeheren Semesters, die bereits Vorkenntnisse in Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie besitzen. Behandelt werden sowohl Methoden des Supervised Learning und Reinforcement Learning als auch des Unsupervised Learning. Der Umfang entspricht einer einsemestrigen vierstundigen Vorlesung. Die einzelnen Kapitel sind weitestgehend unabhangig voneinander lesbar, am Ende jedes Kapitels kann das erworbene Wissen anhand von UEbungsaufgaben und durch Implementierung der Verfahren uberpruft werden. Quelltexte in der Programmiersprache R stehen auf der Springer-Produktseite zum Buch zur Verfugung.

This is the first book to promote the use of stochastic, or random, processes to understand, model and predict our climate system. One of the most important applications of this technique is in the representation of comprehensive climate models of processes which, although crucial, are too small or fast to be explicitly modelled. The book shows how stochastic methods can lead to improvements in climate simulation and prediction, compared with more conventional bulk-formula parameterization procedures. Beginning with expositions of the relevant mathematical theory, the book moves on to describe numerous practical applications. It covers the complete range of time scales of climate variability, from seasonal to decadal, centennial, and millennial. With contributions from leading experts in climate physics, this book is invaluable to anyone working on climate models, including graduate students and researchers in the atmospheric and oceanic sciences, numerical weather forecasting, climate prediction, climate modelling, and climate change.

Das Lehrbuch vermittelt solides Basiswissen zu den thematischen Schwerpunkten Produktmasse, Fourier-Transformation, Transformationsformel, Konvergenzbegriffe, absolute Stetigkeit und Masse auf topologischen Raumen. Hoehepunkte sind die Herleitung des Riesz'schen Darstellungssatzes und der Beweis der Existenz und Eindeutigkeit des Haar'schen Masses. Der Band enthalt ferner mathematikhistorische Ausfluge und Kurzportrats von Mathematikern, die zum Thema des Buchs wichtige Beitrage geliefert haben, sowie zahlreiche UEbungsaufgaben zur Vertiefung des Stoffs.

Probability is an area of mathematics of tremendous contemporary importance across all aspects of human endeavour. This book is a compact account of the basic features of probability and random processes at the level of first and second year mathematics undergraduates and Masters' students in cognate fields. It is suitable for a first course in probability, plus a follow-up course in random processes including Markov chains. A special feature is the authors' attention to rigorous mathematics: not everything is rigorous, but the need for rigour is explained at difficult junctures. The text is enriched by simple exercises, together with problems (with very brief hints) many of which are taken from final examinations at Cambridge and Oxford. The first eight chapters form a course in basic probability, being an account of events, random variables, and distributions - discrete and continuous random variables are treated separately - together with simple versions of the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. There is an account of moment generating functions and their applications. The following three chapters are about branching processes, random walks, and continuous-time random processes such as the Poisson process. The final chapter is a fairly extensive account of Markov chains in discrete time. This second edition develops the success of the first edition through an updated presentation, the extensive new chapter on Markov chains, and a number of new sections to ensure comprehensive coverage of the syllabi at major universities.

Dieses Buch ist eine Einfuhrung in die Variationsrechnung, die das Ziel hat, reellwertige Funktionale zu minimieren oder zu maximieren. Die Funktionale sind Integrale uber einem Intervall, weshalb die dafur zulassigen Funktionen von nur einer unabhangigen Variablen abhangen. Motiviert werden die Fragestellungen durch viele und zum Teil auch historisch bedeutsame Beispiele.
Die Theorie fuhrt in den Euler-Lagrange-Kalkul und in die Direkten Methoden der Variationsrechnung ein. Die Ausfuhrungen werden von Abbildungen begleitet, die das Verstandnis erleichtern. Zu jedem Abschnitt werden Ubungsaufgaben gestellt, deren Losungen am Ende des Buches zu finden sind.
Das Buch ist fur Vorlesungen ab dem 3. Semester geeignet. Die Hilfsmittel, welche uber die der Grundvorlesungen hinausgehen, werden im Text oder im Anhang bereitgestellt.
"

Aufbauend auf dem ersten Band, werden in diesem Buch weiterfuhrende Konzepte der Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie ausfuhrlich und verstandlich diskutiert. Mit vielen exemplarisch durchgerechneten Aufgaben, einer Vielzahl weiterer Problemstellungen und ausfuhrlichen Loesungen bietet es dem Leser die Moeglichkeit, die eigenen Fahigkeiten standig zu erweitern und kritisch zu uberprufen und ein tieferes Verstandnis der Materie zu erlangen. Realitatsnahe Anwendungen ermoeglichen einen Ausblick in die breite Verwendbarkeit dieser Theorie.Auch in diesem Band wird auf die Entwicklung der Begriffsbildung und der mathematischen Konzepte besonderer Wert gelegt, sodass man ihre Bedeutung bei der Erzeugung wie auch standige Verbesserung von Forschungsinstrumenten fur die Untersuchung unserer Welt erleben kann. Gerichtet ist das Buch an Gymnasiasten, Studienanfanger an Hochschulen, Lehrer und Interessierte, die sich mit diesem Gebiet vertraut machen moechten.

In many real-world applications, the problems with the data used for scheduling such as processing times, set-up times, release dates or due dates is not exactly known before applying a specific solution algorithm which restricts practical aspects of scheduling theory. During the last decades, several approaches have been developed for sequencing and scheduling with inaccurate data, depending on whether the data is given as random numbers, fuzzy numbers or whether it is uncertain (ie: it can take values from a given interval). This book considers the four major approaches for dealing with such problems: a stochastic approach, a fuzzy approach, a robust approach and a stability approach. Each of the four parts is devoted to one of these approaches. First, it contains a survey chapter on this subject, as well as between further chapters, presenting some recent research results in the particular area. The book provides the reader with a comprehensive and up-to-date introduction into scheduling with inaccurate data. The four survey chapters deal with scheduling with stochastic approaches, fuzzy job-shop scheduling, min-max regret scheduling problems and a stability approach to sequencing and scheduling under uncertainty. This book will be useful for applied mathematicians, students and PhD students dealing with scheduling theory, optimisation and calendar planning.

This state-of-the-art account unifies material developed in journal articles over the last 35 years, with two central thrusts: It describes a broad class of system models that the authors call 'stochastic processing networks' (SPNs), which include queueing networks and bandwidth sharing networks as prominent special cases; and in that context it explains and illustrates a method for stability analysis based on fluid models. The central mathematical result is a theorem that can be paraphrased as follows: If the fluid model derived from an SPN is stable, then the SPN itself is stable. Two topics discussed in detail are (a) the derivation of fluid models by means of fluid limit analysis, and (b) stability analysis for fluid models using Lyapunov functions. With regard to applications, there are chapters devoted to max-weight and back-pressure control, proportionally fair resource allocation, data center operations, and flow management in packet networks. Geared toward researchers and graduate students in engineering and applied mathematics, especially in electrical engineering and computer science, this compact text gives readers full command of the methods.

A comprehensive overview of the theory of stochastic processes and its connections to asset pricing, accompanied by some concrete applications. This book presents a self-contained, comprehensive, and yet concise and condensed overview of the theory and methods of probability, integration, stochastic processes, optimal control, and their connections to the principles of asset pricing. The book is broader in scope than other introductory-level graduate texts on the subject, requires fewer prerequisites, and covers the relevant material at greater depth, mainly without rigorous technical proofs. The book brings to an introductory level certain concepts and topics that are usually found in advanced research monographs on stochastic processes and asset pricing, and it attempts to establish greater clarity on the connections between these two fields. The book begins with measure-theoretic probability and integration, and then develops the classical tools of stochastic calculus, including stochastic calculus with jumps and Levy processes. For asset pricing, the book begins with a brief overview of risk preferences and general equilibrium in incomplete finite endowment economies, followed by the classical asset pricing setup in continuous time. The goal is to present a coherent single overview. For example, the text introduces discrete-time martingales as a consequence of market equilibrium considerations and connects them to the stochastic discount factors before offering a general definition. It covers concrete option pricing models (including stochastic volatility, exchange options, and the exercise of American options), Merton's investment-consumption problem, and several other applications. The book includes more than 450 exercises (with detailed hints). Appendixes cover analysis and topology and computer code related to the practical applications discussed in the text.

This book develops the theory of continuous and discrete stochastic processes within the context of cell biology. In the second edition the material has been significantly expanded, particularly within the context of nonequilibrium and self-organizing systems. Given the amount of additional material, the book has been divided into two volumes, with volume I mainly covering molecular processes and volume II focusing on cellular processes. A wide range of biological topics are covered in the new edition, including stochastic ion channels and excitable systems, molecular motors, stochastic gene networks, genetic switches and oscillators, epigenetics, normal and anomalous diffusion in complex cellular environments, stochastically-gated diffusion, active intracellular transport, signal transduction, cell sensing, bacterial chemotaxis, intracellular pattern formation, cell polarization, cell mechanics, biological polymers and membranes, nuclear structure and dynamics, biological condensates, molecular aggregation and nucleation, cellular length control, cell mitosis, cell motility, cell adhesion, cytoneme-based morphogenesis, bacterial growth, and quorum sensing. The book also provides a pedagogical introduction to the theory of stochastic and nonequilibrium processes - Fokker Planck equations, stochastic differential equations, stochastic calculus, master equations and jump Markov processes, birth-death processes, Poisson processes, first passage time problems, stochastic hybrid systems, queuing and renewal theory, narrow capture and escape, extreme statistics, search processes and stochastic resetting, exclusion processes, WKB methods, large deviation theory, path integrals, martingales and branching processes, numerical methods, linear response theory, phase separation, fluctuation-dissipation theorems, age-structured models, and statistical field theory. This text is primarily aimed at graduate students and researchers working in mathematical biology, statistical and biological physicists, and applied mathematicians interested in stochastic modeling. Applied probabilists should also find it of interest. It provides significant background material in applied mathematics and statistical physics, and introduces concepts in stochastic and nonequilibrium processes via motivating biological applications. The book is highly illustrated and contains a large number of examples and exercises that further develop the models and ideas in the body of the text. It is based on a course that the author has taught at the University of Utah for many years.

The stability of stochastic differential equations in abstract, mainly Hilbert, spaces receives a unified treatment in this self-contained book. It covers basic theory as well as computational techniques for handling the stochastic stability of systems from mathematical, physical and biological problems. Its core material is divided into three parts devoted respectively to the stochastic stability of linear systems, non-linear systems, and time-delay systems. The focus is on stability of stochastic dynamical processes affected by white noise, which are described by partial differential equations such as the Navier-Stokes equations. A range of mathematicians and scientists, including those involved in numerical computation, will find this book useful. It is also ideal for engineers working on stochastic systems and their control, and researchers in mathematical physics or biology.

Providing a novel approach to sparse stochastic processes, this comprehensive book presents the theory of stochastic processes that are ruled by stochastic differential equations, and that admit a parsimonious representation in a matched wavelet-like basis. Two key themes are the statistical property of infinite divisibility, which leads to two distinct types of behaviour - Gaussian and sparse - and the structural link between linear stochastic processes and spline functions, which is exploited to simplify the mathematical analysis. The core of the book is devoted to investigating sparse processes, including a complete description of their transform-domain statistics. The final part develops practical signal-processing algorithms that are based on these models, with special emphasis on biomedical image reconstruction. This is an ideal reference for graduate students and researchers with an interest in signal/image processing, compressed sensing, approximation theory, machine learning, or statistics.

We propose results of the investigation of the problem of mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of stationary stochastic processes. Estimates are based on observations of the processes with additive stationary noise process. The aim of the book is to develop methods for finding the optimal estimates of the functionals in the case where some observations are missing. Formulas for computing values of the mean-square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimates of functionals are derived in the case of spectral certainty, where the spectral densities of the processes are exactly known. The minimax robust method of estimation is applied in the case of spectral uncertainty, where the spectral densities of the processes are not known exactly while some classes of admissible spectral densities are given. The formulas that determine the least favourable spectral densities and the minimax spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of functionals are proposed for some special classes of admissible densities.