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Infrastructure and Employment Creation in the Middle East and North Africa (Paperback)
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Infrastructure and Employment Creation in the Middle East and North Africa (Paperback)
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This study assesses the potential for job creation through
infrastructure investment in the Middle East and North Africa. The
region has experience in making the most of infrastructure
investments, but maintaining and spreading the momentum in
infrastructure will be important to support future growth and job
creation. To do so, policymakers will have to recognize that there
are large differences in initial conditions across the region in
terms of starting stock, needs, fiscal commitments, private sector
participation and job creation potential. Overall, the region s
infrastructure needs through 2020 are quite large and estimated at
about 106 billion dollars per year or 6.9 percent of the annual
regional GDP. The differences in infrastructure and maintenance
needs across sub-regions are also impressive, with developing oil
exporters expected to require almost 11 percent of their GDP
annually, while the oil importing countries and the GCC oil
exporters expected to need approximately 6 and 5 percent of their
GDP, respectively. Investment and rehabilitation needs are likely
to be especially high in the electricity and transport sectors,
particularly roads. Rehabilitation needs are expected to account
for slightly more than half of total infrastructure needs. While
oil exporters will be able to meet their national infrastructure
needs if they maintain investment spending at rates prevailing in
the 2000s, oil importers will fall short. The infrastructure sector
has the potential to contribute to employment creation in MENA. The
region could generate 2.0 million direct jobs and 2.5 million
direct, indirect and induced infrastructure-related jobs just by
meeting estimated, annual investment needs. However, the potential
varies greatly across countries, and infrastructure alone will not
resolve MENA s unemployment problem. Going forward, decisions on
what types of public spending to expand and what to downsize in
order to achieve balanced budgets will have important implications
for jobs. In designing country specific solutions, governments will
have to tackle predictable challenges: the governance of job
creation, the proper targeting and fiscal costs assessment of
subsidies needed to create jobs, the design and fiscal costs of the
(re)training programs needed and the expectations on the job
creation effects of infrastructure."
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