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Bayesian Analysis with Excel and R (Paperback)
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Bayesian Analysis with Excel and R (Paperback)
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Leverage the full power of Bayesian analysis for competitive
advantage Bayesian methods can solve problems you can't reliably
handle any other way. Building on your existing Excel analytics
skills and experience, Microsoft Excel MVP Conrad Carlberg helps
you make the most of Excel's Bayesian capabilities and move toward
R to do even more. Step by step, with real-world examples, Carlberg
shows you how to use Bayesian analytics to solve a wide array of
real problems. Carlberg clarifies terminology that often bewilders
analysts, and offers sample R code to take advantage of the
rethinking package in R and its gateway to Stan. As you incorporate
these Bayesian approaches into your analytical toolbox, you'll
build a powerful competitive advantage for your organization-and
yourself. Explore key ideas and strategies that underlie Bayesian
analysis Distinguish prior, likelihood, and posterior
distributions, and compare algorithms for driving sampling inputs
Use grid approximation to solve simple univariate problems, and
understand its limits as parameters increase Perform complex
simulations and regressions with quadratic approximation and
Richard McElreath's quap function Manage text values as if they
were numeric Learn today's gold-standard Bayesian sampling
technique: Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Use MCMC to optimize
execution speed in high-complexity problems Discover when
frequentist methods fail and Bayesian methods are essential-and
when to use both in tandem
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