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Rationality in the North Korean Regime - Understanding the Kims' Strategy of Provocation (Paperback)
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Rationality in the North Korean Regime - Understanding the Kims' Strategy of Provocation (Paperback)
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How and why are the Kims rational? There is no consensus about
either the Kims' rationality or how best to determine if they are
rational actors. Rationality in the North Korean Regime offers a
concise and finite method to assess rationality by examining over
ten cases of provocations from the Korean War to the August 2015
land mine incident. The book asserts that Kim Il-sung was
predominantly a rational actor, though the regime behaved
irrationally at times under his rule, and that both Kim Jong-il and
Kim Jong-un have clearly been rational actors. As a rational actor,
Kim Jong-un is unlikely to give up his nuclear weapons, but this
work argues he can be deterred from using them if the United States
demonstrates it is willing to co-exist with his regime and pursues
long-term engagement to reduce Kim's concern that North Korea's
sovereignty needs defending from U.S. hostile policy. This could
allow gradual social change within the country that could
eventually lead to positive systemic change as well as soften Kim's
rule. In this regard, time may be on the side of the U.S.-South
Korean alliance, but the two allies must embrace the long view and
learn to be more patient or risk another conflict on the Korean
Peninsula.
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