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A History of Econometrics - The Reformation from the 1970s (Hardcover)
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A History of Econometrics - The Reformation from the 1970s (Hardcover)
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Reformation of Econometrics is a sequel to The Formation of
Econometrics: A Historical Perspective (1993, OUP) which traces the
formation of econometric theory during the period 1930-1960. This
book provides an account of the advances in the field of
econometrics since the 1970s. Based on original research, it
focuses on the reformists' movement and schools of thought and
practices that attempted a paradigm shift in econometrics in the
1970s and 1980s. It describes the formation and consolidation of
the Cowles Commission (CC) paradigm and traces and analyses the
three major methodological attempts to resolve problems involved in
model choice and specification of the CC paradigm. These attempts
have reoriented the focus of econometric research from internal
questions (how to optimally estimate a priori given structural
parameters) to external questions (how to choose, design, and
specify models). It also examines various modelling issues and
problems through two case studies - modelling the Phillips curve
and business cycles. The third part of the book delves into the
development of three key aspects of model specification in detail -
structural parameters, error terms, and model selection and design
procedures. The final chapter uses citation analyses to study the
impact of the CC paradigm over the span of three and half decades
(1970-2005). The citation statistics show that the impact has
remained extensive and relatively strong in spite of certain
weakening signs. It implies that the reformative attempts have
fallen short of causing a paradigm shift.
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