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On the Cusp - From Population Boom to Bust (Hardcover)
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On the Cusp - From Population Boom to Bust (Hardcover)
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For much of its history, human population growth increased at a
glacial pace. The demographic rate only soared about 200 years ago,
climaxing in the period 1950-2000. In that 50-year span, the
population grew more than it had in the previous 5000 years. Though
these raw numbers are impressive, they conceal the fact that the
growth rate of population topped out in the 1960s. The apparent
population boom may be approaching a population bust, despite our
coexistence with more than seven billion people. In On the Cusp,
economist Charles Pearson explores the meaning of this population
trend from the arc of demographic growth to decline. He reviews
Thomas Malthus's famous 1798 argument that human population would
exceed the earth's carrying capacity, and explains why this
surfaces periodically when birth rates strongly exceed 2.1 children
per household. Analyzing population trends through dual lenses -
demography and economics - Pearson examines the potential
opportunities and challenges of population decline and aging. In
many industrialized countries, the combination of an aging
population and considerable food security may call for policies
that boost fertility, immigration, and worker participation, reform
pension schemes, and ease concern over moderating rates of
population and economic growth. Sharp and occasionally funny,
Pearson's research has thought-provoking implications for future
public policies. Pearson ends his analysis with a mildly hopeful
conclusion, noting that both the rich and the poor face a new
demographic order. Bold and comprehensive, general readers and
students alike will find On the Cusp an informative and engaging
read.
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