Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making - The Case of Turkey's Syria Policy (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2017)

This book introduces a new perspective on risk seeking behaviour, developing a framework based on various cognitive theories, and applying it to the specific case-study of Turkey's foreign policy toward Syria. The author examines why policy makers commit themselves to polices that they do not have the capacity to deliver, and develops an alternative theoretical model to prospect theory in explaining risk taking behaviour based on the concept of overconfidence. The volume suggests that overconfident individuals exhibit risk seeking behaviour that contradicts the risk averse behaviour of individuals in the domain of gain, as predicted by prospect theory. Using a set of testable hypothesis deduced from the model, it presents an empirical investigation of the causes behind Turkish decision makers' unprecedented level of risk taking toward the uprising in Syria and the consequences of this policy.

General

Imprint:	Springer International Publishing AG
Country of origin:	Switzerland
Release date:	July 2018
First published:	2017
Authors:	Imran Demir
Dimensions:	210 x 148mm (L x W)
Format:	Paperback
Pages:	142
Edition:	Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2017
ISBN-13:	978-3-319-84944-7
Categories:	Books > Social sciences > Politics & government > Political science & theory Books > Social sciences > Politics & government > Comparative politics Books > Social sciences > Politics & government > International relations > Diplomacy
LSN:	3-319-84944-1
Barcode:	9783319849447

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