The Craft of Probabilistic Modelling - A Collection of Personal Accounts (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1986)

This book brings together the personal accounts and reflections of nineteen mathematical model-builders, whose specialty is probabilistic modelling. The reader may well wonder why, apart from personal interest, one should commission and edit such a collection of articles. There are, of course, many reasons, but perhaps the three most relevant are: (i) a philosophicaJ interest in conceptual models; this is an interest shared by everyone who has ever puzzled over the relationship between thought and reality; (ii) a conviction, not unsupported by empirical evidence, that probabilistic modelling has an important contribution to make to scientific research; and finally (iii) a curiosity, historical in its nature, about the complex interplay between personal events and the development of a field of mathematical research, namely applied probability. Let me discuss each of these in turn. Philosophical Abstraction, the formation of concepts, and the construction of conceptual models present us with complex philosophical problems which date back to Democritus, Plato and Aristotle. We have all, at one time or another, wondered just how we think; are our thoughts, concepts and models of reality approxim&tions to the truth, or are they simply functional constructs helping us to master our environment? Nowhere are these problems more apparent than in mathematical model ling, where idealized concepts and constructions replace the imperfect realities for which they stand."

General

Imprint:	Springer-Verlag New York
Country of origin:	United States
Series:	Applied Probability, 1
Release date:	October 2011
First published:	1986
Editors:	J. Gani
Contributors:	N.T.J. Bailey • J.W. Cohen • W.J. Ewens • E.J. Hannan • M. Iosifesu • J. Keilson • D.G. Kendall • M. Kimura • M.F. Neuts
Dimensions:	235 x 155 x 17mm (L x W x T)
Format:	Paperback
Pages:	313
Edition:	Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1986
ISBN-13:	978-1-4613-8633-9
Categories:	Books > Science & Mathematics > Mathematics > Probability & statistics
LSN:	1-4613-8633-0
Barcode:	9781461386339

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