Many of us suspect that Social Security faces eventual
bankruptcy. But the government projects its future finances using
long outdated methods. Employing a more up-to-date approach,
Jagadeesh Gokhale here argues that the program faces insolvency far
sooner than previously thought.
To assess Social Security's fate more accurately under current
and alternative policies, Gokhale constructs a detailed simulation
of the forces shaping American demographics and the economy to
project their future evolution. He then uses this simulation to
analyze six prominent Social Security reform packages--two liberal,
two centrist, and two conservative--to demonstrate how far they
would restore the program's financial health and which population
groups would be helped or hurt in the process.
Arguments over Social Security have raged for decades, but they
have taken place in a relative informational vacuum; "Social
Security" provides the necessary bedrock of analysis that will
prove vital for anyone with a stake in this important debate.
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