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Forecasting Zero - U.S. Nuclear History and the Low Probability of Disarmament (Paperback)
Loot Price: R393
Discovery Miles 3 930
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Forecasting Zero - U.S. Nuclear History and the Low Probability of Disarmament (Paperback)
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Loot Price R393
Discovery Miles 3 930
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Over the past few years, a vigorous debate about the wisdom and
mechanics of nuclear disarmament has emerged around the world,
particularly in the United States. Washington's current wave of
support for disarmament was ignited unexpectedly in 2007 by a
bipartisan group of national security experts. Calls for the
elimination of nuclear weapons have existed for almost as long as
the weapons themselves. But these developments, coupled with
President Barack Obama's clear support for disarmament and the
successful ratification of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty,
have left American supporters of abolition feeling as if the scales
may finally be weighted in favor of their goal-even though they
acknowledge that it will not be easily achieved. In his monograph,
Jonathan Pearl challenges the notion that the probability of
nuclear disarmament is increasing. He argues that, contrary to
popular belief, there is little new about the current push for
disarmament, buttressing his claim with a historical overview of
the nuclear age that highlights important similarities between past
and present disarmament efforts. Building on this historical
analysis, Pearl surveys the current political-strategic context,
one that is marked by continuing proliferation, various forms of
conflict, and significant conceptual and structural barriers to
abolishing nuclear weapons. It is far from certain, Pearl
provocatively concludes, whether Washington's current
pro-disarmament efforts will produce meaningful or lasting results.
The Strategic Studies Institute is pleased to offer this monograph
as an important contribution to the debate over nuclear
disarmament. Whether readers are disarmament supporters or
skeptics, Pearl's contribution will serve as an important reference
point for debates on this critical subject.
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