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Statistical Visions in Time - A History of Time Series Analysis, 1662-1938 (Paperback, Revised)
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Statistical Visions in Time - A History of Time Series Analysis, 1662-1938 (Paperback, Revised)
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This work documents the history of techniques that statisticians
have used to manipulate economic, meteorological, biological and
physical data taken from observations recorded over time. The
manipulation tools include per cent change, index numbers, moving
averages and 'first differences', i.e., subtracting one observation
from the previous value. Professor Klein argues that
nineteenth-century business journals, such as The Economist, were
as important to the development of time series analysis as Latin
treatises on probability theory. While examining the roots of
mathematical statistics in commercial practice, she traces changes
in analytical forms from table to graph to equation. Klein cautions
that we risk measurement without history in unduly mechanistic
blending of stationary probability theory with the practical
dynamics of commercial traders. This history is accessible to
students with a basic knowledge of statistics as well as financial
analysts, statisticians and historians of economic thought and
science.
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