What did it mean to be reasonable in the Age of Reason?
Classical probabilists from Jakob Bernouli through Pierre Simon
Laplace intended their theory as an answer to this question--as
"nothing more at bottom than good sense reduced to a calculus," in
Laplace's words. In terms that can be easily grasped by
nonmathematicians, Lorraine Daston demonstrates how this view
profoundly shaped the internal development of probability theory
and defined its applications.
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