How do we explain the remarkably abrupt changes that sometimes
occur in nature and society--and can we predict why and when they
happen? This book offers a comprehensive introduction to critical
transitions in complex systems--the radical changes that happen at
tipping points when thresholds are passed.
Marten Scheffer accessibly describes the dynamical systems
theory behind critical transitions, covering catastrophe theory,
bifurcations, chaos, and more. He gives examples of critical
transitions in lakes, oceans, terrestrial ecosystems, climate,
evolution, and human societies. And he demonstrates how to deal
with these transitions, offering practical guidance on how to
predict tipping points, how to prevent "bad" transitions, and how
to promote critical transitions that work for us and not against
us. Scheffer shows the time is ripe for understanding and managing
critical transitions in the vast and complex systems in which we
live. This book can also serve as a textbook and includes a
detailed appendix with equations. Provides an accessible
introduction to dynamical systems theory Covers critical
transitions in lakes, oceans, terrestrial ecosystems, the climate,
evolution, and human societies Explains how to predict tipping
points Offers strategies for preventing "bad" transitions and
triggering "good" ones Features an appendix with equations
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