This volume offers a number of forensic indicators of election
fraud applied to official election returns, and tests and
illustrates their application in Russia and Ukraine. Included are
the methodology's econometric details and theoretical assumptions.
The applications to Russia include the analysis of all federal
elections between 1996 and 2007 and, for Ukraine, between 2004 and
2007. Generally, we find that fraud has metastasized within the
Russian polity during Putin's administration with upwards of 10
million or more suspect votes in both the 2004 and 2007 balloting,
whereas in Ukraine, fraud has diminished considerably since the
second round of its 2004 presidential election where between 1.5
and 3 million votes were falsified. The volume concludes with a
consideration of data from the United States to illustrate the
dangers of the application of our methods without due consideration
of an election's substantive context and the characteristics of the
data at hand.
General
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