Hydrological Drought Forecasting in Africa at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales (Hardcover)

Africa has been severely affected by droughts in the past, contributing to food insecure conditions in several African countries. In view of the (even more) severe drought conditions and water shortage that may be expected in sub-Saharan Africa in the coming years, efforts should focus on improving drought management by ameliorating resilience and preparedness to drought. This study contributes to the development of a modelling framework for hydrological drought forecasting in sub-Saharan Africa as a step towards an effective early warning system. The proposed hydrological drought forecasting system makes use of a hydrological model that was found to be suitable for drought forecasting in Africa and could represent the most severe past droughts in the Limpopo Basin. The modelling results showed that there is an added value in computing indicators based on the hydrological model for the identification of droughts and their severity. The proposed seasonal forecasting system for the Limpopo Basin was found to be skilful in predicting hydrological droughts during the summer rainy season. The findings showed that the persistence of the initial hydrological conditions contribute to the predictability up to 2 to 4 months, while for longer lead times the predictability of the system is dominated by the meteorological forcing. An effective drought forecasting and warning system will hopefully contribute to important aspects in the region such as water security, food security, hazard management, and risk reduction.

General

Imprint:	Crc Press
Country of origin:	United Kingdom
Series:	IHE Delft PhD Thesis Series
Release date:	September 2018
First published:	2016
Authors:	Patricia M. Trambauer Arechavaleta
Dimensions:	246 x 174mm (L x W)
Format:	Hardcover
Pages:	182
ISBN-13:	978-1-138-37336-5
Categories:	Books > Earth & environment > The environment > Management of land & natural resources Books > Business & Economics > Industry & industrial studies > Energy industries & utilities > Water industries Books > Professional & Technical > Environmental engineering & technology > Sanitary & municipal engineering > Water supply & treatment > General
LSN:	1-138-37336-2
Barcode:	9781138373365

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