This book looks at the prospects for international cooperation
over nuclear weapons proliferation in the 21st century.
Nuclear weapons served as stabilizing forces during the Cold
War, or the First Nuclear Age, on account of their capability for
destruction, the fear that this created among politicians and
publics, and the domination of the nuclear world order by two
superpowers: the United States and the Soviet Union. The end of the
Cold War, the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and the potential
for nuclear weapons acquisition among revisionist states, or even
non-state actors including terrorists, creates the possibility of a
'wolves eat dogs' phenomenon in the present century.
In the 21st century, three forces threaten to undo or weaken the
long nuclear peace and fast-forward states into a new and more
dangerous situation: the existence of large US and Russian nuclear
weapons arsenals; the potential for new technologies, including
missile defenses and long-range, precision conventional weapons,
and a collapse or atrophy of the nuclear nonproliferation regime,
and the opening of the door for nuclear weapons to spread among
more than the currently acknowledged nuclear states.
This book explains how these three 'weakening' forces interact
with one another and with US and Russian policy-making in order to
create an environment of large possibilities for cooperative
security - but also of considerable danger. Instead, the choices
made by military planners and policy-makers will create an early
twenty-first century story privileging nuclear stability or chaos.
The US and Russia can, and should, make incremental progress in
arms control and nonproliferation.
This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear
proliferation and arms control, strategic studies, international
security and IR in general.
Stephen J. Cimbala is Distinguished Professor of Political
Science at Pennsylvania State University. He is the author of
numerous works in the fields of international security, defense
studies, nuclear arms control and other topics. He has consulted
for various US government agencies and defense contractors.
General
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