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Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history
is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These
may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed
under great pressure. They may also be considered to be successful
or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgments and
appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and
crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized
alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the
modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this
question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using
simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim
that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the
envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical
analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis.
Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a
general audience who are interested in learning more about
statistical methods both in military history and for wider
applications. Key Features: Demonstrates how modern statistical
techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions.
Examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern
scholars and historical actors. Combines historical narrative,
mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward
presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history.
Provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity
and rigour of works of counterfactual history Written in a manner
accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or
Statistics.
Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history
is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These
may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed
under great pressure. They may also be considered to be successful
or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgments and
appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and
crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized
alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the
modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this
question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using
simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim
that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the
envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical
analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis.
Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a
general audience who are interested in learning more about
statistical methods both in military history and for wider
applications. Key Features: Demonstrates how modern statistical
techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions.
Examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern
scholars and historical actors. Combines historical narrative,
mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward
presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history.
Provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity
and rigour of works of counterfactual history Written in a manner
accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or
Statistics.
In Sociology of Waiting, Paul Christopher Price investigates how
people wait and analyzes what individuals do while waiting. It is a
key feature within U.S. and other societies; waiting is universal.
Sociologically, waiting gets at order and our ability or inability
to pause. Crowds cannot rush into concert venues and supermarket
clerks cannot check-out customers simultaneously. So, we must wait!
In all our waiting, we've developed strategies and structures for
"delays," and such methods and structures provide order as well as
understanding: we recognize why we wait. The sociology of waiting
is a classic piece of everyday sociology, a timeless piece of
routine behavior. Waiting is as natural as breathing, eating and
drinking; indeed, mothers wait nine months before infants are
brought to term, and summer will always follow spring. Waiting
provides its own lessons. That is, watching cars weave through
traffic and receive citations by police, we learn that waiting may
have saved time and money. Shining the light on waiting permits a
far superior understanding of order and how our society organizes
itself around taking turns. Waiting is a matter that takes-up much
of our valuable time and resources-consequently, reducing wait-time
has become big business.
In Sociology of Waiting, Paul Christopher Price investigates how
people wait and analyzes what individuals do while waiting. It is a
key feature within U.S. and other societies; waiting is universal.
Sociologically, waiting gets at order and our ability or inability
to pause. Crowds cannot rush into concert venues and supermarket
clerks cannot check-out customers simultaneously. So, we must wait!
In all our waiting, we've developed strategies and structures for
"delays," and such methods and structures provide order as well as
understanding: we recognize why we wait. The sociology of waiting
is a classic piece of everyday sociology, a timeless piece of
routine behavior. Waiting is as natural as breathing, eating and
drinking; indeed, mothers wait nine months before infants are
brought to term, and summer will always follow spring. Waiting
provides its' own lessons. That is, watching cars weave through
traffic and receive citations by police, we learn that waiting may
have saved time and money. Shining the light on waiting permits a
far superior understanding of order and how our society organizes
itself around taking turns. Waiting is a matter that takes-up much
of our valuable time and resources-consequently, reducing wait-time
has become big business.
This qualitative study critically analyzes the responsibilities of
frontline staff at Opportunity Boys' Home (OBH), a residential
treatment program for delinquent youth. The core activities of
staff at OBH involve direct management and control of juvenile
delinquents. Specifically, they serve as the formal social control
agents primarily involved in "control-work," e.g., breaking up
fights, resolving inmate conflicts, negotiating order, maintaining
straight lines, preventing "AWOLS," confronting rule violations by
juveniles, and responding to emergencies. Those interested in
social control, community-based group homes, social work, and the
sociology of work will find Social Control at Opportunity Boys'
Home intriguing, useful, and informative.
The Hartford Whalers were a beloved hockey team from their founding
in 1972 as the New England Whalers. Playing in the National Hockey
League's smallest market and arena after the World Hockey
Association merger in 1979, they struggled in a division that
included both the Boston Bruins and Montreal Canadiens-but their
fans were among the NHL's most loyal. In 1995 new owners demanded a
new arena and, when it fell through, moved the team to North
Carolina, rebranding as the Hurricanes. Unlike fellow franchises
that have folded or relocated with little fanfare, the Whalers' fan
base stayed with the team, which remains as popular as ever. Even
though more than two decades have come and gone since Connecticut's
only professional sports team moved, nobody has truly forgotten the
Whalers, their history, and their unique-and still highly
profitable-logo. And while the NHL continues to thrive without
them, their impact stretches far beyond the ice and into an
entirely different cultural arena. Christopher Price grew up in
Connecticut as a diehard Whalers fan, experiencing firsthand the
team's bond with the community. Drawing from all aspects of the
team's past, he tells the uncensored history of Connecticut's
favorite professional sports franchise. Part sports history and
part civic history, Bleeding Green shows vividly why the Whalers,
despite an inglorious past and a future that unexpectedly vanished,
remain firmly embedded in the American milieu and have had a
lasting impact on not only the NHL but the sports landscape as a
whole.
The Finally Fearless Workbook is meant to be used with the main
text, Finally Fearless: Journey from Panic to Peace. It is a great
tool for church groups, book clubs, or individuals who want to play
an active role in their healing from fear and anxiety. Do fear and
anxiety rule your life? They used to rule mine. I am not a medical
doctor or a psychologist. I am a creative, intelligent woman. Yet
panic and anxiety left me feeling completely out of control. I
ached for God to show up and heal me instantly. Instead, He became
my Wonderful Counselor, and He walked me through my fears, step by
step, toward healing. Much of my personal recovery came through
healing exercises I did, the same ones I'm now sharing with you in
this companion workbook. The work you will do here is a reflection
of God's relentless help in healing and encouraging me through
these most vital exercises, creative assignments, journaling,
reflection, and meditation on key scriptures. This workbook also
contains bonus material not found in the original book, including
extra journal entries, assignments, poetry, and helpful collections
of Bible verses grouped by topics such as peace, hope, God's
faithfulness, fear, and trust. Are you tired of fighting against
your fears? Has panic interrupted your life? Has anxiety stopped
you from going after your dreams? Start your soul-searching journey
now so you, too, can venture toward peace. The Finally Fearless
Workbook includes a collection of peaceful, original photography by
Christopher Price. * * * Praise for Finally Fearless: Journey from
Panic to Peace "This is one courageous book. In her bravest turn
yet, Cheryl McKay dives into the storm-tossed depths of suffocating
anxiety. This unflinchingly honest account is the personal hand of
experience...guiding all who would read to still waters." -Susan
Rohrer, author THE HOLY SPIRIT: Amazing Power for Everyday People
For years, the New England Patriots were a certifiable joke of a
franchise. They were run on the cheap and were once the very
example of how not to manage a team. They hired inept coaches---one
of whom (Clive Rush) was nearly electrocuted when he grabbed a
microphone at his introductory press conference. In 1968 their
scouting director, Ed McKeever, suggested they draft a wide
receiver . . . before someone in the organization realized the
player had been dead for six months. They plucked ex-players out of
the stands minutes before kickoff---Bob Gladieux was enjoying a
beer at the game when he heard his name called over the P.A. (The
Patriots had cut a player earlier that morning and found themselves
short. Gladieux, who would go on to spend four years in the league
as a running back, made the tackle on the opening kickoff.) And
they played in a run-down stadium that was one of the worst venues
in professional sports. There were brief moments of success, but on
each occasion, front-office infighting would invariably cause the
franchise to slide back down to the basement again.
But in the first four months of 2000, everything changed. The
hiring of head coach Bill Belichick and Vice President of Player
Personnel Scott Pioli and the drafting of quarterback Tom Brady
turned the fortunes of the franchise around. And their
nontraditional approach to acquiring personnel---remembering that
it's not about collecting talent, it's about assembling a
team---quickly led to three Super Bowl titles in four seasons. It's
a feat that, in the salary cap era, with free agency, planned
parity and balanced scheduling, is in many ways even more
impressive than anything achieved by the past dynasties of Green
Bay, Pittsburgh, Dallas, and San Francisco.
Along the way, Christopher Price has had a front-row seat for
football history, chronicling the rise to power of the NFL's
unlikeliest superpower. Price takes the reader inside the franchise
to give him a dynamic portrait of a mighty organization at the
height of its power. Readers are immersed in the locker room during
the strange and tumultuous days of 2001 and 2003, when major
personnel moves involving a pair of the most popular players in
franchise history---Drew Bledsoe and Lawyer Milloy---threatened to
rock their championship foundation to the core. Readers get an
up-close look at the team that dominated the league on the way to a
record-setting winning streak in 2004. And Price analyzes what went
wrong when they fell short in 2005 and 2006, and how they plan to
return to Super Bowl form in 2007.
"The Blueprint" will explore how the Patriots went from the dregs
to a dynasty, becoming the gold standard for professional sports
franchises everywhere. It will prompt sports fans (and those who
study organizations) to acknowledge what many football insiders
have believed for a long time: when it comes to building a
successful system, the Patriots have the Blueprint.
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Ghost (MP3 format, CD)
Alan Lightman; Read by Christopher Price
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R480
R367
Discovery Miles 3 670
Save R113 (24%)
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Out of stock
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