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Gorbachev's Third World Dilemmas (1989) examines the strategic,
political and ideological criteria which shaped Soviet policies
toward the developing world. Organized around particular themes and
issues, it pays attention to both theoretical fundamentals in
Soviet doctrine and to Soviet actions in specific regions. The
topics range widely and include: the Soviet conception of regional
security; Soviet arms transfers and military aid to the developing
world; the developing world in Soviet military thinking; the USSR
and crisis in the Caribbean; Soviet policy towards Southern Africa,
notably Angola and Mozambique; and Soviet policy towards Southwest
Africa. It looks at the activist foreign policy that Gorbachev
inherited, and explores the elements of change and continuity that
Gorbachev and the Soviets faced.
New presidents have no honeymoon when it comes to foreign
policy. Less than three months into his presidency, for example,
John F. Kennedy authorized the disastrous effort to overthrow Fidel
Castro at the Bay of Pigs. More recently, George W. Bush had been
in office for less than eight months when he was faced with the
attacks of September 11. How should an incoming president prepare
for the foreign policy challenges that lie immediately ahead?
That's the question Kurt Campbell and James Steinberg tackle in
this compelling book. Drawing on their decades of government
service --in the corridors of Capitol Hill, the intimate confines
of the White House, the State Department, and the bare-knuckles
Pentagon bureaucracy --Campbell and Steinberg identify the major
foreign policy pitfalls that face a new presidential
administration. They explain clearly and concisely what it takes to
get foreign policy right from the start. The authors set the scene
with a historical overview of presidential transitions and foreign
policy including case studies of such prominent episodes as the
"Black Hawk Down" tragedy in Somalia that shook the Clinton
administration in its first year and the Bush administration's
handling of the collision between a U.S. reconnaissance plane and a
Chinese fighter jet in the spring of 2001. They pinpoint the
leading causes of foreign policy fiascos, including the tendency to
write off the policies of the outgoing administration and the
failure to appreciate the differences between campaign promises and
policy realities. Most important, they provide a road map to help
the new administration steer clear of the land mines ahead.
America's next president will confront critical foreign policy
decisions from day one. Dif "ficult Transitions pr"ovides essential
guidance for getting those choices right.
More than half a century after the advent of the nuclear age, is
the world approaching a tipping point that will unleash an epidemic
of nuclear proliferation? Today many of the building blocks of a
nuclear arsenal -scientific and engineering expertise, precision
machine tools, software, design information -are more readily
available than ever before. The nuclear pretensions of so-called
rogue states and terrorist organizations are much discussed. But
how firm is the resolve of those countries that historically have
chosen to forswear nuclear weapons? A combination of changes in the
international environment could set off a domino effect, with
countries scrambling to develop nuclear weapons so as not to be
left behind -or to develop nuclear "hedge" capacities that would
allow them to build nuclear arsenals relatively quickly, if
necessary. The Nuclear Tipping Point examines the factors, both
domestic and transnational, that shape nuclear policy. The authors,
distinguished scholars and foreign policy practitioners with
extensive government experience, develop a framework for
understanding why certain countries may originally have decided to
renounce nuclear weapons -and pinpoint some more recent
country-specific factors that could give them cause to reconsider.
Case studies of eight long-term stalwarts of the nonproliferation
regime -Egypt, Germany, Japan, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Syria,
Turkey, and Taiwan -flesh out this framework and show how even
these countries might be pushed over the edge of a nuclear tipping
point. The authors offer prescriptions that would both prevent such
countries from reconsidering their nuclear option and avert
proliferation by others. The stakes are enormous and success is far
from assured. To keep the tipping point beyond reach, the authors
argue, the international community will have to act with unity,
imagination, and strength, and Washington's leadership will be
essential. Contributors include Leon Feurth, George Washington
University; Ellen Laipson, Stimson Center; Thomas W. Lippman,
Middle East Institute; Jenifer Mackby, Center for Strategic and
International Studies; Derek J. Mitchell, Center for Strategic and
International Studies; Jonathan D. Pollack, U.S. Naval War College;
Walter B. Slocombe, Caplin and Drysdale; and Tsuyoshi Sunohara,
Center for Strategic and International Studies.
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