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There can be few everyday financial issues more important than the
price of houses. Whether we own one and worry about its value or
aspire to own one and are frustrated by their high prices, nobody
can avoid the issue. In the UK, while prices have fluctuated during
our lifetimes, overall they have risen steadily and sometimes
spectacularly. The accepted wisdom is that houses are a safe and
excellent investment for the long term. But are they really as good
an investment as we believe? Might the future be different from the
past? Are houses really so safe? This book looks at house prices
over the long term in several countries -- including the UK, the
US, France, Holland, Norway, Germany and Australia -- to find out
what has happened to house prices and why. The author illustrates
his findings with authoritative data on trends and provides
intriguing details including a century-long index of UK house
prices, an analysis of the value of the White House and a
fascinating four-hundred-year story of houses in Amsterdam. - To
what extent are we right to view our houses as an investment as
well as a home? - If prices can rise for decades and then fall for
more than a whole generation, then what does the future hold? - If
prices rise further, will houses become unaffordable for many young
people? How will that affect our society? - If they crash, will
that endanger our banks once more? - Are politicians, policymakers
and regulators prepared for the true range of possibilities?
Anybody who owns a house, wants to own a house or follows the
prices and economics of housing will find this book an accessible,
fascinating and door-opening read. Neil Monnery studied at Oxford
and Harvard Business School. He worked for many years at The Boston
Consulting Group as a Director and Senior Vice President and is now
active in business, investing and research.
This is a book about Sir John Cowperthwaite - the man Nobel
Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman identified as being behind
Hong Kong's remarkable post-war economic transformation. Despite
there being some articles about him and effusive obituaries there
have, until now, been no published biographies of Cowperthwaite. At
the end of the Second World War, Hong Kong lived up to its
description as "the barren island." It had few natural resources,
its trade and infrastructure lay in tatters, its small
manufacturing base had been destroyed and its income per capita was
less than a quarter of its mother country, Britain. As a British
colony it fell to a small number of civil servants to confront
these difficult challenges, largely alone. But by the time of the
handover of Hong Kong to China in 1997, it was one of the most
prosperous nations on Earth. By 2015 its GDP per capita was over
40% higher than Britain's. How did that happen? Around the world,
post-war governments were turning to industrial planning, Keynesian
deficits and high inflation to stimulate their economies. How much
did the civil servants in Hong Kong adopt from this emerging global
consensus? Virtually nothing. They rejected the idea that
governments should play an active role in industrial planning -
instead believing in the ability of entrepreneurs to find the best
opportunities. They rejected the idea of spending more than the
government raised in taxes - instead aiming to keep a year's
spending as a reserve. They rejected the idea of high taxes -
instead keeping taxes low, believing that private investment would
earn high returns, and expand the long-term tax base. This strategy
was created and implemented by no more than a handful of men over a
fifty-year period. Perhaps the most important of them all was John
Cowperthwaite, who ran the trade and industry department after the
war and then spent twenty years as deputy and then actual Financial
Secretary before his retirement in 1971. He, more than anyone,
shaped the economic policies of Hong Kong for the quarter century
after the war and set the stage for a remarkable economic
expansion. His resolve was tested constantly over his period in
office, and it was only due to his determination, independence, and
intellectual rigor that he was not diverted from the path in which
he believed so strongly. This book examines the man behind the
story, and the successful economic policies that he and others
crafted with the people of Hong Kong.
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