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This book models price behaviour and forecasts prices in the dry
bulk shipping market, a major component of the world shipping
industry. Recent uncertainties in the world economy, shipbuilding
developments and fleet changes mean the dry bulk shipping market
has become extremely volatile, highly speculative and more
sensitive to external shocks. In response to these challenging
circumstances, this book models price behaviour and forecasts
prices in various markets including the freight market, the new
build ship market and the second-hand ship market. The authors have
carried out an extensive investigation of dry bulk shipping over a
60-year period in diverse sub-markets, trading routes, market
conditions and dry bulk vessels. The authors also propose a
framework for analysing and modelling the economic processes of
numerous variables in the dry bulk shipping market, making use of
modern econometric techniques and other economic approaches. This
will be especially useful for the control and assessment of risk
for ship owners and charterers in ship operation, ship chartering
and ship trading activities. This book will be extremely useful for
shipbuilders, owners and charterers, as well as shipping analysts
and policymakers. It will also be of great interest to academics
and researchers concerned with the economics of the shipping
industry.
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