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Books > Business & Economics > Finance & accounting > Finance
In the last decade rating-based models have become very popular in
credit risk management. These systems use the rating of a company
as the decisive variable to evaluate the default risk of a bond or
loan. The popularity is due to the straightforwardness of the
approach, and to the upcoming new capital accord (Basel II), which
allows banks to base their capital requirements on internal as well
as external rating systems. Because of this, sophisticated credit
risk models are being developed or demanded by banks to assess the
risk of their credit portfolio better by recognizing the different
underlying sources of risk. As a consequence, not only default
probabilities for certain rating categories but also the
probabilities of moving from one rating state to another are
important issues in such models for risk management and pricing.
It is widely accepted that rating migrations and default
probabilities show significant variations through time due to
macroeconomics conditions or the business cycle. These changes in
migration behavior may have a substantial impact on the
value-at-risk (VAR) of a credit portfolio or the prices of credit
derivatives such as collateralized debt obligations (D+CDOs). In
this book the authors develop a much more sophisticated analysis of
migration behavior. Their contribution of more sophisticated
techniques to measure and forecast changes in migration behavior as
well as determining adequate estimators for transition matrices is
a major contribution to rating based credit modeling.
*Internal ratings-based systems are widely used in banks to
calculate their value-at-risk (VAR) in order to determine their
capital requirements for loan and bond portfolios under Basel
II
*One aspect of these ratings systems is credit migrations,
addressed in a systematic and comprehensive way for the first time
in this book
*The book is based on in-depth work by Trueck and Rachev,
Calvet and Fisher present a powerful, new technique for volatility
forecasting that draws on insights from the use of multifractals in
the natural sciences and mathematics and provides a unified
treatment of the use of multifractal techniques in finance. A large
existing literature (e.g., Engle, 1982; Rossi, 1995) models
volatility as an average of past shocks, possibly with a noise
component. This approach often has difficulty capturing sharp
discontinuities and large changes in financial volatility. Their
research has shown the advantages of modelling volatility as
subject to abrupt regime changes of heterogeneous durations. Using
the intuition that some economic phenomena are long-lasting while
others are more transient, they permit regimes to have varying
degrees of persistence. By drawing on insights from the use of
multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics, they show
how to construct high-dimensional regime-switching models that are
easy to estimate, and substantially outperform some of the best
traditional forecasting models such as GARCH. The goal of their
book is to popularize the approach by presenting these exciting new
developments to a wider audience. They emphasize both theoretical
and empirical applications, beginning with a style that is easily
accessible and intuitive in early chapters, and extending to the
most rigorous continuous-time and equilibrium pricing formulations
in final chapters.
. Presents a powerful new technique for forecasting
volatility
. Leads the reader intuitively from existing volatility techniques
to the frontier of research in this field by top scholars at major
universities.
. The first comprehensive book on multifractal techniques in
finance, a cutting-edge field of research"
From the #1 bestselling author of The Big Short and Flash Boys, the
high-octane story of the enigmatic figure at the heart of one of the
21st century's most spectacular financial collapses
'I asked him how much it would take for him to sell FTX and go do
something other than make money. He thought the question over. "One
hundred and fifty billion dollars," he finally said-though he added
that he had use for "infinity dollars"...'
Sam Bankman-Fried wasn't just rich. Before he turned thirty he'd become
the world's youngest billionaire, making a record fortune in the crypto
frenzy. CEOs, celebrities and world leaders vied for his time. At one
point he considered paying off the entire national debt of the Bahamas
so he could take his business there.
Then it all fell apart.
Who was this Gatsby of the crypto world, a rumpled guy in cargo shorts,
whose eyes twitched across TV interviews as he played video games on
the side, who even his million-dollar investors still found a mystery?
What gave him such an extraordinary ability to make money - and how did
his empire collapse so spectacularly?
Michael Lewis was there when it happened, having got to know
Bankman-Fried during his epic rise. In Going Infinite he tells us a
story like no other, taking us through the mind-bending trajectory of a
character who never liked the rules and was allowed to live by his own.
Both psychological portrait of a preternaturally gifted 'thinking
machine', and wild financial roller-coaster ride, this is a
twenty-first-century epic of high-frequency trading and even higher
stakes, of crypto mania and insane amounts of money, of hubris and
downfall. No one could tell it better.
Walter Bagehot noticed once that "John Bull can stand many things,
but he cannot stand two per cent." Well, for several years, he has
had to stand interest rates well below that, in some countries even
below zero. However, despite this sacrifice, the economic recovery
from the Great Recession has been disappointingly weak. This book's
aim is to answer this question. The central thesis of the book is
that the standard understanding of the monetary transmission
mechanism is flawed. That understanding adopts erroneous
assumptions-such as, that low interest rates always stimulate
economic growth by boosting the credit supply, investment, and
consumption-and does not fully take into account several unintended
channels of monetary policy, such as risk-taking, high level of
debt, or zombification of the economy. In other words, the
effectiveness of monetary policy is limited during economic
downturns accompanied by the debt overhang and the balance sheet
recession, and generates negative effects, which can make the
policy counterproductive. The author provides a thorough analysis
of the issues related to the interest rates in the conduct of
monetary policy, such as the risk-taking channel of monetary
policy, the portfolio-balance channel and the wealth effect, zombie
firms in the economy, the misallocation of resources, as well as
the neutral interest rate targeting and the difference between the
neutral and natural interest rate and the negative interest rate
policy. The book is written in an accessible and engaging manner
and will be a valuable resource for scholars of monetary economics
as well as readers interested in (unconventional) monetary policy.
Its basic empirical research and investigation of pure theories of
investment in the sports and lottery markets make this volume a
winner. These markets are simpler to study than traditional
financial markets, and their expected values and outcomes are
uncomplicated. By means of new overviews of scholarship on the
industry side of racetrack and other betting markets to betting
exchanges and market efficiencies, contributors consider a variety
of sports in countries around the world. The result is not only
superior information about market forecasting, but macro- and
micro-analyses that are relevant to other markets.
* Easily studied sports markets reveal features relevant for more
complex traditional financial markets
* Significant coverage of sports from racing to jai alai
* New studies of betting exchanges and Internet wagering markets
While Europe is certainly one of the richest and most educated
areas of the world, some of the challenges faced by the old
continent are staggering: low economic growth, structural
difficulties in the labour market, and increasing international
competition. Politicians and policymakers may advocate different
means of overcoming the potential economic decline of Europe, but
most agree that Europe needs to strengthen human capital, its
ultimate competitive advantage in the world economy.
This book looks at the accumulation of human capital from two
perspectives, first through formal education and then professional
training. It provides a useful summary of the key characteristics
of education and training in Europe and also asks key questions
about the fundamental problems with the current educational and
training systems. More importantly, the book goes on to discuss
which policies are necessary to make existing education and
training systems more efficient, while also making higher skills
available to a wider range of people.
The surge in technological transformation affects all business
model phases over many industries. Emerging technologies provide
new avenues for industries to increase their competitive advantage
and enhance economic progression. Blockchain technology's ability
to build an open and trustworthy network model seems to promote
shared IT-based networks in banking, insurance, and other similar
industries. The adoption of blockchain in the banking and insurance
industry is developing rapidly. Applications, Challenges, and
Opportunities of Blockchain Technology in Banking and Insurance
explores how blockchain technologies optimize and integrate the
transactions and operations in association with access to
information and reduction in communication costs and negligible
data transfer errors. It includes studies on various banking and
insurance industries intending to use blockchain technology to make
transactions convenient, simple, and safe. Covering topics such as
cryptocurrency, digital transformation, and small and medium-sized
enterprises, this premier reference source is an essential resource
for policymakers, government officials, students and educators of
higher education, libraries, banking managers, insurance
professionals, researchers, and academicians.
Behavioral finance is the study of how psychology affects financial
decision making and financial markets. It is increasingly becoming
the common way of understanding investor behavior and stock market
activity. In this 2nd Edition Hersh Shefrin examines the reigning
assumptions of asset pricing theory and reconstructs them to
incorporate findings from behavioral finance. In other words, he
takes the traditional tools in asset pricing and behavioralizes
them. He constructs a solid, intact structure that challenges
classic assumptions and at the same time provides a strong theory
and efficient empirical tools. Building on the models developed by
both traditional asset pricing theorists and behavioral asset
pricing theorists, Shefrin's book takes the discussion to the next
step. He provides a general behaviorally based intertemporal
treatment of asset pricing theory that extends to the discussion of
derivatives, fixed income securities, mean-variance efficient
portfolios, and the market portfolio, based on all the latest
research and theory.
* The second edition continues the tradition of the first edition
by being the one and only book to focus completely on how
behavioral finance principles affect asset pricing, now with its
theory deepened and enriched by a plethora of research since the
first edition
* A companion website contains a series of examples worked out as
Excel spreadsheets so that readers can input their own data to test
the results
The growth of financial intermediation research has yielded a host
of questions that have pushed "design" issues to the fore even as
the boundary between financial intermediation and corporate finance
has blurred. This volume presents review articles on six major
topics that are connected by information-theoretic tools and
characterized by valuable perspectives and important questions for
future research. Touching upon a wide range of issues pertaining to
the designs of securities, institutions, trading mechanisms and
markets, industry structure, and regulation, this volume will
encourage bold new efforts to shape financial intermediaries in the
future.
* Original review articles offer valuable perspectives on research
issues appearing in top journals
* Twenty articles are grouped by six major topics, together
defining the leading research edge of financial
intermediation
* Corporate finance researchers will find affinities in the tools,
methods, and conclusions featured in these articles
This book is an essential tool for understanding the range of IP
investment strategies - and how companies unlock value and profit
from it. It provides a valuable tutorial for businesspeople,
entrepreneurs, analysts, and dealmakers seeking better to
understand, with clear examples, the components of different IP
categories and their value-creating applications.
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