The most salient feature of security returns is uncertainty. The purpose of the book is to provide systematically a quantitative method for analyzing return and risk of a portfolio investment in di?erent kinds of uncertainty and present the ways for striking a balance between investment return and risk such that an optimal portfolio can be obtained. In classical portfolio theory, security returns were assumed to be random variables, and probability theory was the main mathematical tool for h- dling uncertainty in the past. However, the world is complex and uncertainty is varied. Randomnessis nottheonly typeofuncertaintyinreality, especially when human factors are included. Security market, one of the most complex marketsintheworld, containsalmostallkindsofuncertainty. Thesecurity- turns are sensitive to various factors including economic, social, political and very importantly, people's psychological factors. Therefore, other than strict probability method, scholars have proposed some other approaches including imprecise probability, possibility, and interval set methods, etc., to deal with uncertaintyinportfolioselectionsince1990's. Inthisbook, wewantto addto thetools existingin sciencesomenewandunorthodoxapproachesforanal- ing uncertainty of portfolio returns. When security returns are fuzzy, we use credibility which has self-duality property as the basic measure and employ credibilitytheorytohelpmakeselectiondecisionsuchthatthedecisionresult will be consistent with the laws of contradiction and excluded middle. Being awarethat one tool is not enough for solving complex practical problems, we further employ uncertain measure and uncertainty theory to help select an optimal portfolio when security returns behave neither randomly nor fuzzily. One core of portfolio selection is to ?nd a quantitative risk de?nition of a portfolio investment.

Conquer the markets and become a successful day trader

Day trading is a fast-paced, sometimes risky form of investment. Day Trading For Dummies gives you the information you need to get started with this quick-action form of trading for income and maintain your assets. Learn how the market works, how to read and predict price movements, and how to minimize your loss potential, so you can manage your money strategically and create your day trading plan. Expert author Ann Logue will set you on the path to success, showing you the techniques successful day traders use to profit. This new edition covers crypto, AI, meme stocks, new trading options, and the latest strategies. By following market indicators and doing the essential research, you can avoid making critical mistakes and instead make smart trades that earn money.

Infrastructure drives economic growth, jobs, quality of life, health and welfare, but public mechanisms for delivering infrastructure services face particular challenges of efficiency and politicized decision making. Public Private Partnerships (PPPs), if well designed and implemented, can provide Governments with more efficient, more effective, better managed, more transparent and more competitive sources of infrastructure services, financed through new sources of funding.

This title features detailed table of contents: What happened and how did we get here? This section will: cover a brief history of market panics to place the current turmoil in context; trace the origins of the current financial crisis and the rise of sub prime mortgages; explain the complicated financial instruments and rationalizations used to justify sub prime mortgages; illustrate how changes in the real estate markets ultimately led to a crisis situation in the sub prime mortgage market; and, give a blow-by-blow of what happened during the weeks leading up to the collapse including the Fannie and Freddie Mac government takeover, the downfall of the investment banks, and the failure of some commercial banking institutions. Where Are We Now and Where Are We Headed? This section will describe the reaction of businesses and consumers in the face of the economic crisis. It examines what the 'new' Wall Street will look like and how will it affect the Main Street III. What Does It Mean For You? This prescriptive section will cover: what is and is not protected by the government; information about personal debt; descriptions of individual investor strategies; general lessons learned; and, forecasts about the future.

The three volumes of Interest Rate Modeling present a comprehensive and up-to-date treatment of techniques and models used in the pricing and risk management of fixed income securities. Written by two leading practitioners and seasoned industry veterans, this unique series combines finance theory, numerical methods, and approximation techniques to provide the reader with an integrated approach to the process of designing and implementing industrial-strength models for fixed income security valuation and hedging. Aiming to bridge the gap between advanced theoretical models and real-life trading applications, the pragmatic, yet rigorous, approach taken in this book will appeal to students, academics, and professionals working in quantitative finance. Volume II is dedicated to in-depth study of term structure models of interest rates. While providing a thorough analysis of classical short rate models, the primary focus of the volume is on multi-factor stochastic volatility dynamics, in the setups of both the separable HJM and Libor market models. Implementation techniques are covered in detail, as are strategies for model parameterization and calibration to market data.

This book develops key messages for city stakeholders: how can cities and properties adapt to this crisis and how can public and private actors help to make cities more resilient in the long run. The book is addressed to actors from the real estate industry and the city, to project developers, architects, planners, engineers, financiers, investors and asset managers - and to everyone who lives and works in cities.

This book comprises an edited series of papers about risk management and the latest developments in the field. Covering topics such as Stochastic Volatility, Risk Dynamics, Weather Derivatives and Portfolio Diversification, this book will have broad international appeal. It is highly relevany for optimal portfolio allocation for both private and institutional investors worldwide.

Investing for a Lifetime is designed to make saving and investing understandable to the investor. Wharton Professor Richard C. Marston, 2014 recipient of the Investment Management Consultants Association s prestigious Matthew R. McArthur Award, guides an investor through the main investment decisions throughout a lifetime. Investing for a Lifetime shows: * how younger investors can set savings goals * how both younger and older investors can choose investment portfolios to achieve these goals * how investors can sustain spending once reaching retirement. Younger and older investors alike should understand savings goals that will provide enough income to sustain spending in retirement. They should devise rates of saving that allow them to reach their goals by the time of retirement. Though retirement is often the main goal of investing, it s not the only one. Marston discusses how funding a child s education or saving for a down payment for a home affects overall saving. Sensible investing is also necessary for savings goals to be realized. Investing need not be complicated, but Marston explains that a diversified portfolio should include a mix of different types of U.S. stocks, foreign stocks, real estate as well as bonds. He describes each of these asset classes and shows how they fit in an investor s portfolio. He shows how investors can monitor the performance of their portfolios by establishing benchmarks for each asset class to judge how well their investments are doing. He focuses particular attention on those investors nearing retirement. In today s low interest rate environment, he discusses whether it is possible to fund retirement from interest and dividends alone. He shows how savings combined with Social Security can fund retirement spending. And he asks how the New Normal of lower returns might force investors to save more than in past decades, and to spend less in retirement than in the past. Investing for a Lifetime is for investors who want to understand more about the savings and investment process, particularly those who worry about whether their retirement savings will last a lifetime.

An interactive guide to successfully trading in today's markets

"Mastering the Art of Equity Trading Through Simulation" is a guidebook to interactive computer trading simulation designed to provide participants with hands-on experience in making tactical decisions and implementing them in different market environments-from continuous order drive markets to call auction markets, and from dealer markets to dark liquidity pools.

By showing traders how to operate in these different markets, this reliable resource quickly reveals a good deal about what trading involves and how market design impacts trading decisions.Provides a virtual platform that gives users hands-on experience in making tactical trading decisionsShows exactly how prices are established in the marketplaceTeaches how the structure of a marketplace influences participant decisions

Learning to trade through study is like learning about a roller coaster ride verbally. You may get the idea of going up and down and around curves, but will lack the actual experience. "Mastering the Art of Equity Trading Through Simulation" will get you as close as possible to the markets-without actually going in them-and prepare you to profit once you're really there.

Disasters happen every day. Are your investments prepared?

The investor who knows how to anticipate historically significant or earth-shattering events--who is prepared to act when others are frozen with fear--will always have a substantial advantage. By closely analyzing potential global threats and the opportunities they present, The Wall Street Journal Guide to Investing in the Apocalypse offers investors the key to finding a silver lining in almost any cataclysm. Even if the catastrophic does not occur, the strategies here can pay huge dividends even under more mundane circumstances.

The Wall Street Journal Guide to Investing in the Apocalypse provides readers with valuable information for investment success: the ability to see opportunity where others see peril. Whether a global disaster is natural or man-made, environmental or financial, every fearsome scenario contains the seeds of profit for the investor who stays calm and thinks rather than panics and runs.

This significant new book addresses the important issue of diversification in an age where it is vital to reduce volatility on investments. Properly applied portfolio management can lead to greater gains. The expert authors guide investors through international portfolio diversification, make clear how to help improve the efficiency of their investments, and explain how international diversification reduces the risk of an investment portfolio. This key book educates investors about how international mutual finds enhance the performance of their portfolio. The authors analyze which factors are most essential to investors, and find that both financial factors and behavioural arguments must be considered. This book is a crucial tool for any investor looking to improve the profit gain from their investment.

This book provides insights into the hidden role of intuitive expertise in financial decision-making. The authors show and discuss how expertise combined with intuitive judgments positively affect decision-making outcomes. The book builds on the latest academic studies in this emergent field. In combination with the academic perspective, the authors provide a field study that they conducted in the context of mergers and acquisitions (M&As), a common and critical strategic investment for companies. The interviews were carried out with experts and decision-makers in large and successful international companies (i.e., M&A experts, CEOs, CFOs, and board members). The book provides a solid theoretical and empirically based grounding of the topic. In addition, it offers suggestions to practitioners on how they can develop and nurture intuitive expertise in strategic investment decision-making. The report of the field study provides examples and quotes from interviews to visualize findings, thus helping practitioners gain understanding and insights from the text. The authors also discuss the downsides of intuitive expertise, such as biases and flawed decision-making. For scholars, students, and professionals, the book offers a concise and up-to-date summary of an emergent stream of research, exploring how cognition and judgment affect financial decision-making.

It was an inconceivable deception: over $65 billion stolen in the world's largest Ponzi scheme. With new and revealing interviews with those who worked closest to him and his family, "Betrayal" is an in-depth, penetrating look at the man who perpetrated history's most notorious financial crime. Despite the crush of media attention on Madoff's scam, little is known about Madoff himself. What could lead a seemingly good man to ruin the lives of everyone who ever cared about him? What caused Bernie Madoff to commit an unspeakable act of betrayal, bankrupting his family, his friends, his mentors, and thousands of investors who depended upon him for their livelihoods? "Betrayal: The Life and Lies of Bernie Madoff" is about the man who realised that he could have everything he wanted if he simply lied to the people who trusted him the most. Author Andrew Kirtzman tracked down more than a hundred people from Madoff's past, poured over thousands of pages of court records; private e-mails; phone-conversation transcripts; and, census, military, and immigration records. The result is a fascinating story about the rise of a deeply immoral man.

This innovative book analyses the geographical patterns in foreign direct investment flows by combining elements from the theory of international production and the theory of economic geography. It develops a model for explaining why foreign direct investment is attracted to certain locations. The book examines foreign direct investment from a spatial perspective and considers how knowledge, regional synergies, economic integration, corporate strategies and networking affect patterns of investment. Using a model, Robert Morsink derives sets of determinants for different foreign direct investment patterns of multinationals and evaluates the corporate strategy behind these flows. First, he analyses investment flows within the European Union. Then, he goes into investments originating from the United States, Japan, Germany and the Netherlands and destined for Western Europe, South and Southeast Asia and North and South America. These analyses enable him to make suggestions for government policy at both the national and international level to attract foreign investment. Foreign Direct Investment and Corporate Networking will be of interest to economists working in the areas of international trade and investment, economic geographers and corporate strategy advisors as well as to policymakers from government and non-governmental organizations.

The performance of various types of capital resources in the economic reforms of China are of great interest to those involved in the reforms as policymakers, scholars, and businesspeople. Four major areas of financial development are identified--banking and loans, trade and foreign direct investments, official flows and foreign exchanges, and the stock market. The quality, or efficiency, of the capital resource has not been given equal weight with quantity, as it is difficult to measure the quality of a resource, and because more of a capital resource is generally preferred to less. A comprehensive analysis of trade and investment issues in China has been provided.

The service field constitutes the cutting edge of the new industrial revolution and already surpasses manufacturing as the principal economic activity in the private sector. This contemporary revolution has witnessed the launching of many new companies and industries, assisted by venture capitalists committed to their success. This book emphasizes the creation of new industries with the aid of venture capitalists, arguing that investment bankers/venture capitalists contribute to the economy by conceiving and developing innovative financing to help along fledgling businesses.

An Empirical Investigation of Stock Markets: The CCF Approach attempts to make an empirical contribution to the literature on the movements of stock prices in major economies, i.e. Germany, Japan, the UK and the USA. Specifically, the cross-correlation function (CCF) approach is used to analyze the stock market. This volume provides some empirical evidence regarding the economic linkages among a group of different countries.

Chapter 2 and Chapter 3 analyze the international linkage of stock prices among Germany, Japan, the UK and the USA. Chapter 2 applies the standard approach, whereas Chapter 3 uses the CCF approach. Chapter 4 analyzes the relationship between stock prices and exchange rates. Chapter 5 analyzes the relationship among stock prices, exchange rates, and real economic activities. Chapter 6 summarizes the main results obtained in each chapter and comments on the possible directions of future research.

There is a foundational crisis in financial theory and professional investment practice: There is little, if any, credible evidence that active investment strategies and traditional institutional quantitative technologies are able to provide superior risk-adjusted, cost-adjusted return over investment relevant horizons. Economic and financial theory has been in error for more than fifty years and is the fundamental cause of the persistent ineffectiveness of professional asset management. Contemporary sociological and economic theory, agent-based modeling, and an appreciation of the social context for preference theory provides a rational and intuitive framework for understanding financial markets and economic behavior. The author narrates his long-term experience in the use and limitations of traditional tools of quantitative asset management as an institutional asset manager in practice and as a quantitative analyst and strategist on Wall Street. Monte Carlo simulation methods, modern statistical tools, and U.S. patented innovations are introduced to redefine portfolio optimality and procedures for enhanced professional asset management. A new social context for expected utility theory leads to a novel understanding of modern equity markets as a financial intermediary for purchasing power constant time-shift investing uniquely appropriate for meeting investor long-term investment objectives. This book addresses the limitations and indicated resolutions for more useful financial theory and more reliable asset management technology. In the process, it traces the major historical developments of theory and institutional asset management practice and their limitations over the course of the 20th century to the present, including Markowitz and the birth of modern finance, CAPM theory and emergence of institutional quantitative asset management, CAPM and VM theory limitations and ineffective iconic tools and strategies, and innovations in statistical methodologies and financial market theory.

Recently there has been a growing demand for mutual funds and how their performance compares to other funds on an international level. This significant new book focuses on the changes in some countries regarding the new paradigm of international investing through mutual funds. This is an indispensable collection of original papers on the mutual fund industry focusing on various European countries, the U.S. and New Zealand. Performance is assessed using a fresh approach, innovative techniques and various models. This book will allow the reader and practitioner to gain a perspective and understanding of mutual funds on an international level.

"This edited volume contains essential readings for financial analysts and market practitioners working at Central Banks and Sovereign Wealth Funds. It presents the reader with state-of-the-art methods that are directly implementable, and industry 'best-practices' as followed by leading institutions in their field"--Provided by publisher.

Climate Trading covers issues related to greenhouse gas emissions trading markets, including the events that lead up to the adoption of the Kyoto protocol, the development of the market-based mechanisms under the Protocol, and the emerging domestic and international emissions trading and carbon credits markets. The book provides a comprehensive and detailed overview of the complex and evolving issues surrounding these markets. As governments begin the process of implementation of domestic regulation in order to meet international requirements, it will be crucial for capital markets practitioners to understand the implications and options associated with emissions trading.