"The sillier the market's behavior, the greater the opportunity for the business-like investor. Follow Graham and you will profit from folly rather than participate in it."—Warren E. Buffett.

"[Graham] is the genius who literally created the framework for investment analysis that leads to successful investing. Like that other genius Edison, Graham created light where there was none." —Bill Ruane, Sequoia Fund.

"It's never the wrong time to invoke the name of Benjamin Graham, value investor par excellence." —Money

"The search for intelligent investing should begin with the remarkable Benjamin Graham's timeless teachings. Read Lowe's book and you'll learn to seek what the original master sought as she helps Graham reclaim his rightful place as the most important and extraordinary investment writer of any generation."—Kenneth Lee, author of Trouncing the Dow.

Known as the "father of value investing," Benjamin Graham was—and is—one of America's most lauded financial thinkers. Billionaire investor Warren Buffett, a former student of Graham, extols him to this day. Brilliant, successful, and ethical, he revolutionized investment philosophy by introducing the concepts of security analysis, fundamental analysis, and value investing—theories that have become timeless essentials of the field. Now, Janet Lowe, author of Benjamin Graham on Value Investing and Warren Buffett Speaks, reintroduces the foundations of Graham's eminence—including his ever-relevant market observations and his assessment of long-term economic problems—by presenting a unique compilation of his writings that contains rare and/or previously unpublished articles, lectures, and interviews.

Almost twenty-five years after his death, Benjamin Graham continues to have one of the largest and most loyal followings of any investment philosopher of this century. A prolific and popular writer whose trademark was blending original ideas with wit and intelligence, he has guided and inspired Wall Street professionals with his thoughtful ruminations and piercing insights on a host of investment and economic topics. Though bits and pieces of this material are widely quoted even today, the full writings have not always been easy to find—until now.

The result of in-depth research, The Rediscovered Benjamin Graham brings together the very best the investment legend had to offer, including such incisive works as:

• "Inflated Treasuries and Deflated Stocks: Are Corporations Milking Their Owners?"
• "The Ethics of American Capitalism".
• "Proposals for an International Commodity-Reserve Currency".
• "The New Speculation in Common Stocks".
• "Is American Business Worth More Dead Than Alive?".
• "The Simplest Way to Select Bargain Stocks".

  A groundbreaking volume that fills an important niche in investment literature, The Rediscovered Benjamin Graham is destined to become as timeless a classic as its distinguished subject.

  Jacket Design: Don Welsh

From a leading trading systems developer, how to make profitable trades when there are no obvious trends

How does a trader find alpha when markets make no sense, when price shocks cause diversification to fail, and when it seems impossible to hedge? What strategies should traders, long conditioned to trend trading, deploy? In "Alpha Trading: Profitable Strategies That Remove Directional Risk," author Perry Kaufman presents strategies and systems for profitably trading in directionless markets and in those experiencing constant price shocks. The book
Details how to exploit new highs and lowsDescribes how to hedge primary risk components, find robustness, and craft a diversification programOther titles by Kaufman: "New Trading Systems and Methods, 4th Edition" and "A Short Course in Technical Trading," both by Wiley

Given Kaufman's 30 years of experience trading in almost every kind of market, his "Alpha Trading" will be a welcome addition to the trading literature of professional and serious individual traders for years to come.

A Revolutionary Way to Trade

"John Ehlers, ‘master of cycles, ’delivers more than just the definitive work on cycle analysis and adaptive techniques; he raises financial mathematics to a higher level. The book solves the problem of identifying sideways and trending markets, and teaches how to minimize lag. For nonmathematicians, Ehlers provides clear chapter summaries and fully programmed systems that make this book a prize."–Perry J. Kaufman, President of Strategic Market Systems, Author of Trading Systems and Methods

"John Ehlers combines innovative insights into price behavior with a powerful, concrete approach to trading. The result is a unique blend of high theory and hands-on, practical trading systems and methods."–Nelson Freeburg, Editor of Formula Research

"John Ehlers has made more original, analytically sound contributions to the study of technical analysis than anyone except Art Merrill. This volume caps years of development and makes available to traders successful techniques they would have little chance of creating on their own. I recommend it to all advanced traders without hesitation." –John Sweeney, Editor of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine

"John Ehlers has been a regular standout in trading system rankings for many years. Now we know why! Rocket Science for Traders is a true tour de force!"–David Brown, retired CEO of Telescan

Visit our Web site at www.wileyfinance.com

Financial market volatility plays a crucial role in financial decision making, as volatility forecasts are important input parameters in areas such as option pricing, hedging strategies, portfolio allocation and Value-at-Risk calculations. The fact that financial innovations arrive at an ever-increasing rate has motivated both academic researchers and practitioners and advances in this field have been considerable. The use of Stochastic Volatility (SV) models is one of the latest developments in this area. Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets describes the existing techniques for the measurement and estimation of volatility in international stock markets with emphasis on the SV model and its empirical application. Eugenie Hol develops various extensions of the SV model, which allow for additional variables in both the mean and the variance equation. In addition, the forecasting performance of SV models is compared not only to that of the well-established GARCH model but also to implied volatility and so-called realised volatility models which are based on intraday volatility measures.
The intended readers are financial professionals who seek to obtain more accurate volatility forecasts and wish to gain insight about state-of-the-art volatility modelling techniques and their empirical value, and academic researchers and students who are interested in financial market volatility and want to obtain an updated overview of the various methods available in this area.

This volume includes papers on topics related to efficiency issues in U.S. and European equity and options markets, as well as the productive efficiency of various types of depository financial institutions. In the capital market context, the book highlights the provisions of efficient trading services in the capital markets and the role of market size, concentration, quality, governance and automation of trading. In the banking perspectives, the volume presents topics related to market integration, dynamic models of bank production, regulatory closure rules for banking firms, risk based insurance premiums in banking, and the economics of the research and development in private firms.

A comprehensive volume that covers a complete array of traditional and alternative investment vehicles

This practical guide provides a comprehensive overview of traditional and alternative investment vehicles for professional and individual investors hoping to gain a deeper understanding of the benefits and pitfalls of using these products.

In it, expert authors Mark Anson, Frank Fabozzi, and Frank Jones clearly present the major principles and methods of investing and their risks and rewards. Along the way, they focus on providing you with the information needed to successfully invest using a host of different methods depending upon your needs and goals.Topics include equities, all types of fixed income securities, investment-oriented insurance products, mutual funds, closed-end funds, investment companies, exchange-traded funds, futures, options, hedge funds, private equity, and real estateWritten by the expert author team of Mark Anson, Frank Fabozzi, and Frank JonesIncludes valuable insights for everyone from finance professionals to individual investors

Many finance books offer collections of expertise on one or two areas of finance, but "The Handbook of Traditional and Alternative Investment Vehicles" brings all of these topics together in one comprehensive volume.

The recent evolution of an independent cross market, combined with the technological advancements in computerized trading marked the beginning of a new era in the Foreign Exchange Market. Triangular arbitrage among currencies, once only a theory, is now common practice for those with access to large amounts of money. This book illustrates how converting from one currency to another, then to another, and back to the original currency can be very profitable. This study provides the first direct and precise test of triangular arbitrage based on actual data.

A risk-free profit can be made by taking advantage of price discrepancies of a currency in several different markets. The study begins by reviewing past work on triangular arbitrage and provides a comprehensive review of the Foreign Exchange Market and the procedures of computerized trading. The author then presents the theory of triangular arbitrage, given a group of five major currencies. The last chapters develop methods of testing that are original and based on empiracal information. The author is careful to explain that profits arer dependent on many variables related to market volume, volatility, inefficiency, and unexpected news. The markets that consistently show the largest amounts of inefficiency are the dollar-pound-yen, dollar-mark-yen, and dollar-yen-franc markets. Inefficiencies in triangular arbitrage imply that risk-free profitable opportunities exist. Traders can take advantage of those opportunities by focusing their attention on the markets in which profitable opportunities are available.

In recent years portfolio optimization and construction methodologies have become an increasingly critical ingredient of asset and fund management, while at the same time portfolio risk assessment has become an essential ingredient in risk management, and this trend will only accelerate in the coming years. Unfortunately there is a large gap between the limited treatment of portfolio construction methods that are presented in most university courses with relatively little hands-on experience and limited computing tools, and the rich and varied aspects of portfolio construction that are used in practice in the finance industry. Current practice demands the use of modern methods of portfolio construction that go well beyond the classical Markowitz mean-variance optimality theory and require the use of powerful scalable numerical optimization methods. This book fills the gap between current university instruction and current industry practice by providing a comprehensive computationally-oriented treatment of modern portfolio optimization and construction methods. The computational aspect of the book is based on extensive use of S-PlusA(R), the S+NuOPTa"[ optimization module, the S-Plus Robust Library and the S]Bayesa"[ Library, along with about 100 S-Plus scripts and some CRSPA(R) sample data sets of stock returns. A special time-limited version of the S-Plus software is available to purchasers of this book.

a oeFor money managers and investment professionals in the field, optimization is truly a can of worms rather left un-opened, until now! Here lies a thorough explanation of almost all possibilities one can think of for portfolio optimization, complete with error estimationtechniques and explanation of when non-normality plays a part. A highly recommended and practical handbook for the consummate professional and student alike!a

Steven P. Greiner, Ph.D., Chief Large Cap Quant & Fundamental Research Manager, Harris Investment Management

a oeThe authors take a huge step in the long struggle to establish applied post-modern portfolio theory. The optimization and statistical techniques generalize the normal linear model to include robustness, non-normality, and semi-conjugate Bayesian analysis via MCMC. The techniques are very clearly demonstrated by the extensive use and tight integration of S-Plus software. Their book should be an enormous help to students and practitioners trying to move beyond traditional modern portfolio theory.a

Peter Knez, CIO, Global Head of Fixed Income, Barclays Global Investors

a oeWith regard to static portfolio optimization, the book gives a good survey on the development from the basic Markowitz approach to state of the art models and is in particular valuable for direct use in practice or for lectures combined with practical exercises.a

Short Book Reviews of the International Statistical Institute, December 2005

This book is about strategic asset allocation for institutional investors. It is an edited series of papers, from respected academics worldwide, on the latest developments in portfolio management, including new scientific articles that help to identify new trends. These expert studies can effectively improve the risk and return characteristics of your investment portfolio.

From the complexity of today's business world and its daily transactions has come a proliferation of new accounting standards. The Financial Accounting Standards Board has weighed in with its own pronouncements on the issues, but are they truly comprehensible and applicable? Riahi-Belkaoui explores these questions clearly, with numerous illustrations of the accounting techniques embedded in them, and offers interpretations designed to help accounting professionals deal with these problems in their work. Scholars, researchers, and students in the academic community will also find his analyses helpful and compelling.

Prosper from the profitable opportunities of the next financial market super boom

In 1976, Yale Hirsch predicted a fifteen-year super boom--a move in the stock market of 500% or more. His forecast proved accurate as the market rose and continued upward, eventually posting growth over 1,000% just before the tech crash in 2000. In "Super Boom," Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor in Chief of the "Stock Trader's Almanac," unveils the next market expansion. Building on his father's research from 1976, Hirsch has discovered that meteoric rises in stock indices are due to specific catalysts predominantly outside of the financial markets.

History has a way of repeating itself, especially in the financial markets. The American economy, and subsequently the world economy, has always existed in a cycle of boom and bust: gold, grain, oil, technology, and most recently, real estate, have all bubbled and popped. The key to investing profitably is spotting macroeconomic historical trends and positioning to reap the benefits. Step-by-step, Hirsch puts together the pieces of this puzzle by revealing the central drivers of a super boom.Examines how new cultural paradigm-shifting technologies, as well as peace between major wars, could fuel a super boomDiscusses how the massive injection of money by the government, in response to the global financial crisis and the Great Recession, as well as wartime spending, will eventually create an inflationary environmentThe data and research found here is based on historical information and the boom-and-bust cycle of the past century

As markets and economies struggle over the next several years, remember to keep your eye on the future and get ready for the coming super boom and the next 500% move in the market. With this book as your guide, you'll benefit from the insights that only Jeffrey Hirsch can provide.

This study provides a timely and useful benchmark for analysis of the effects of the recently negotiated North American Free Trade Agreement on investment flows. It also presents a unified history of foreign investment in Canada, Mexico, and the United States over the twentieth century, stressing interactions among these countries and their changing policies towards inward and outward investment. Twomey analyzes economic theories of foreign investment from the perspectives of neoclassical economics and political science and places them in the context of the ongoing debate over neo-protectionist policies and the role of the United States in the global economy.

The most salient feature of security returns is uncertainty. The purpose of the book is to provide systematically a quantitative method for analyzing return and risk of a portfolio investment in di?erent kinds of uncertainty and present the ways for striking a balance between investment return and risk such that an optimal portfolio can be obtained. In classical portfolio theory, security returns were assumed to be random variables, and probability theory was the main mathematical tool for h- dling uncertainty in the past. However, the world is complex and uncertainty is varied. Randomnessis nottheonly typeofuncertaintyinreality, especially when human factors are included. Security market, one of the most complex marketsintheworld, containsalmostallkindsofuncertainty. Thesecurity- turns are sensitive to various factors including economic, social, political and very importantly, people's psychological factors. Therefore, other than strict probability method, scholars have proposed some other approaches including imprecise probability, possibility, and interval set methods, etc., to deal with uncertaintyinportfolioselectionsince1990's. Inthisbook, wewantto addto thetools existingin sciencesomenewandunorthodoxapproachesforanal- ing uncertainty of portfolio returns. When security returns are fuzzy, we use credibility which has self-duality property as the basic measure and employ credibilitytheorytohelpmakeselectiondecisionsuchthatthedecisionresult will be consistent with the laws of contradiction and excluded middle. Being awarethat one tool is not enough for solving complex practical problems, we further employ uncertain measure and uncertainty theory to help select an optimal portfolio when security returns behave neither randomly nor fuzzily. One core of portfolio selection is to ?nd a quantitative risk de?nition of a portfolio investment.

This title features detailed table of contents: What happened and how did we get here? This section will: cover a brief history of market panics to place the current turmoil in context; trace the origins of the current financial crisis and the rise of sub prime mortgages; explain the complicated financial instruments and rationalizations used to justify sub prime mortgages; illustrate how changes in the real estate markets ultimately led to a crisis situation in the sub prime mortgage market; and, give a blow-by-blow of what happened during the weeks leading up to the collapse including the Fannie and Freddie Mac government takeover, the downfall of the investment banks, and the failure of some commercial banking institutions. Where Are We Now and Where Are We Headed? This section will describe the reaction of businesses and consumers in the face of the economic crisis. It examines what the 'new' Wall Street will look like and how will it affect the Main Street III. What Does It Mean For You? This prescriptive section will cover: what is and is not protected by the government; information about personal debt; descriptions of individual investor strategies; general lessons learned; and, forecasts about the future.

This book develops key messages for city stakeholders: how can cities and properties adapt to this crisis and how can public and private actors help to make cities more resilient in the long run. The book is addressed to actors from the real estate industry and the city, to project developers, architects, planners, engineers, financiers, investors and asset managers - and to everyone who lives and works in cities.

This book comprises an edited series of papers about risk management and the latest developments in the field. Covering topics such as Stochastic Volatility, Risk Dynamics, Weather Derivatives and Portfolio Diversification, this book will have broad international appeal. It is highly relevany for optimal portfolio allocation for both private and institutional investors worldwide.

The steadily rising number of investor-State arbitration proceedings within the EU has triggered an extensive backlash and an increased questioning of the international investment law regime by different Member States as well as the EU Commission. This has resulted in the EU's assertion of control over the intra-EU investment regime by promoting the termination of bilateral intra-EU investment treaties (intra-EU BITs) and by opposing the jurisdiction of arbitral tribunals in intra-EU investor-State arbitration proceedings. Against the backdrop of the landmark Achmea decision of the European Court of Justice, the book offers an in-depth analysis of the interplay of international investment law and the law of the European Union with regard to intra-EU investments, i.e. investments undertaken by an investor from one EU Member State within the territory of another EU Member State. It specifically analyses the conflict between the two investment protection regimes applicable within the EU with a particular emphasis on the compatibility of the international legal instruments with the law of the European Union. The book thereby addresses the more general question of the relationship between EU law and international law and offers a conceptual framework of intra-European investment protection based on the analysis of all intra-EU BITs, the Energy Charter Treaty and EU law, as well as the arbitral practice in over 180 intra-EU investor-State arbitration proceedings. Finally, the book develops possible solutions to reconcile the international legal standards of protection with the regionalized transnational law of the European Union.

October 19th 1987 was a day of huge change for the global finance industry. On this day the stock market crashed, the Nobel Prize winning Black-Scholes formula failed and volatility smiles were born, and on this day Elie Ayache began his career, on the trading floor of the French Futures and Options Exchange.

Experts everywhere sought to find a model for this event, and ways to simulate it in order to avoid a recurrence in the future, but the one thing that struck Elie that day was the belief that what actually happened on 19th October 1987 is simply non reproducible outside 19th October 1987 - you cannot reduce it to a chain of causes and effects, or even to a random generator, that can then be reproduced or represented in a theoretical framework.

"The Blank Swan" is Elie's highly original treatise on the financial markets - presenting a totally revolutionary rethinking of derivative pricing and technology. It is not a diatribe against Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan," but criticises the whole background or framework of predictable and unpredictable events - white and black swans alike -, i.e. the very category of prediction.

In this revolutionary book, Elie redefines the components of the technology needed to price and trade derivatives. Most importantly, and drawing on a long tradition of philosophy of the event from Henri Bergson to Gilles Deleuze, to Alain Badiou, and on a recent brand of philosophy of contingency, embodied by the speculative materialism of Quentin Meillassoux, Elie redefines the market itself against the common perceptions of orthodox financial theory, general equilibrium theory and the sociology of finance.

This book will change the way that we think about derivatives and approach the market. If anything derivatives should be renamed "contingent claims," where contingency is now absolute and no longer derivative, and the market is just its medium. The book also establishes the missing link between quantitative modelling (no longer dependent on probability theory but on a novel brand of mathematics which Elie calls the "mathematics of price") and the reality of the market.

The three volumes of Interest Rate Modeling present a comprehensive and up-to-date treatment of techniques and models used in the pricing and risk management of fixed income securities. Written by two leading practitioners and seasoned industry veterans, this unique series combines finance theory, numerical methods, and approximation techniques to provide the reader with an integrated approach to the process of designing and implementing industrial-strength models for fixed income security valuation and hedging. Aiming to bridge the gap between advanced theoretical models and real-life trading applications, the pragmatic, yet rigorous, approach taken in this book will appeal to students, academics, and professionals working in quantitative finance. Volume II is dedicated to in-depth study of term structure models of interest rates. While providing a thorough analysis of classical short rate models, the primary focus of the volume is on multi-factor stochastic volatility dynamics, in the setups of both the separable HJM and Libor market models. Implementation techniques are covered in detail, as are strategies for model parameterization and calibration to market data.

Disasters happen every day. Are your investments prepared?

The investor who knows how to anticipate historically significant or earth-shattering events--who is prepared to act when others are frozen with fear--will always have a substantial advantage. By closely analyzing potential global threats and the opportunities they present, The Wall Street Journal Guide to Investing in the Apocalypse offers investors the key to finding a silver lining in almost any cataclysm. Even if the catastrophic does not occur, the strategies here can pay huge dividends even under more mundane circumstances.

The Wall Street Journal Guide to Investing in the Apocalypse provides readers with valuable information for investment success: the ability to see opportunity where others see peril. Whether a global disaster is natural or man-made, environmental or financial, every fearsome scenario contains the seeds of profit for the investor who stays calm and thinks rather than panics and runs.

Like the courtesans of a bygone age, hedge funds cater to the wealthy and project an aura of mystery and excitement. But as the Long Term Capital Management debacle showed, their activities affect us all.
Far from neutralising risk, as their name might suggest, some are simply vehicles for large-scale speculation - raiding currencies, disrupting bond markets, and embarrassing governments.
This book looks in detail at the secret world of hedge funds, how they work, the larger than life characters who run them, their private passions and the risks they run.

An inside account of the multi-billion pound world of private equity and a masterclass on the art of deal-making. The Dealmaker is a frank and honest account of how a severely dyslexic child who struggled at school went on to graduate from Oxford and become a serial entrepreneur. It describes Guy Hand's career in private equity, first at Nomura and then as head of his own company, Terra Firma. It looks in detail at the huge deals that Terra Firma has done over the years, involving everything from cinema chains and pubs to waste management, aircraft leasing and green energy. And it offers a brutally honest appraisal of the deal that almost bankrupted him - the acquisition of multinational music recording and publishing company EMI in 2007, just as a global financial crash loomed on the horizon. Above all, he gives the reader a real sense of what it's like inside the secretive world of private equity, describing in frank detail the pressures and rewards involved. Insightful and page-turning, The Dealmaker will prove inspirational and essential reading for all those who want to understand how huge business negotiations are done, and what makes one of private equity's biggest players tick.

A concise, authoritative guide on using the business cycle to improve investment timing and maximize returns.
"The business cycle--which articulates the evolution of the economy through time--provides the fundamental backdrop for investment returns. . . . Various classes of assets perform very differently under different economic conditions, and to exploit the opportunities presented by these disparate conditions, the investor must understand the dynamics of the economy and how changes in the economy impact different categories of investments. This primer offers a framework for assessing and understanding the business cycle and its impact on different types of financial assets." --from the Introduction.
Successful market timing depends on understanding the impact of the business cycle on different types of assets at different stages of the cycle. Surprisingly, there is little practical information currently available on business cycle-based timing. In this authoritative new book, an expert on investment timing gives you the framework for understanding both how the business cycle works and how it affects market timing. Ten concise, sharply focused chapters provide the tools you need for making the right investment decisions -- at the right time.
Investment Timing and the Business Cycle definitively sets out the cycle of economic forces that affect asset class returns, and describes the nature, power, and interaction of these forces on the full range of investment vehicles. Investment expert Jon Gregory Taylor explains the different phases of the business and growth cycles, and the effect each phase has on investment returns in equities, bonds, and cash. He examines keyU.S. economic indicators and gives suggestions for interpreting them in light of the business/growth cycle and the financial markets.
Taylor's insights into the effects of the business/growth cycle on the stock market cover such crucial issues as negative and positive output gaps, corporate earnings and profits, inventories, monetary policy, and interest rates. His detailed analysis of sector rotation will help you take advantage of changes in the relative performance of specific market sectors over time.
Taylor describes how global equity markets, each with their own cycle and seasonality, influence each other and in the process, present yet another level of risk and opportunity for investors. In a thorough examination of the bond market, Taylor emphasizes the dynamics of the business cycle as it relates to monetary policy and short-term interest rates.
Supported by an abundance of helpful charts, tables, and references, Investment Timing and the Business Cycle will give investment pro-fessionals at all levels a deeper understanding of the cyclical forces that shape the invest-ment environment, as well as a sounder, more informed basis for expertly timed investment decisions.

It was an inconceivable deception: over $65 billion stolen in the world's largest Ponzi scheme. With new and revealing interviews with those who worked closest to him and his family, "Betrayal" is an in-depth, penetrating look at the man who perpetrated history's most notorious financial crime. Despite the crush of media attention on Madoff's scam, little is known about Madoff himself. What could lead a seemingly good man to ruin the lives of everyone who ever cared about him? What caused Bernie Madoff to commit an unspeakable act of betrayal, bankrupting his family, his friends, his mentors, and thousands of investors who depended upon him for their livelihoods? "Betrayal: The Life and Lies of Bernie Madoff" is about the man who realised that he could have everything he wanted if he simply lied to the people who trusted him the most. Author Andrew Kirtzman tracked down more than a hundred people from Madoff's past, poured over thousands of pages of court records; private e-mails; phone-conversation transcripts; and, census, military, and immigration records. The result is a fascinating story about the rise of a deeply immoral man.

This significant new book addresses the important issue of diversification in an age where it is vital to reduce volatility on investments. Properly applied portfolio management can lead to greater gains. The expert authors guide investors through international portfolio diversification, make clear how to help improve the efficiency of their investments, and explain how international diversification reduces the risk of an investment portfolio. This key book educates investors about how international mutual finds enhance the performance of their portfolio. The authors analyze which factors are most essential to investors, and find that both financial factors and behavioural arguments must be considered. This book is a crucial tool for any investor looking to improve the profit gain from their investment.