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Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility (Hardcover, 2011)
Loot Price: R4,809
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Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility (Hardcover, 2011)
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This book examines the issue of price volatility in agricultural
commodities markets and how this phenomenon has evolved in recent
years. The factors underlying the price spike of 2007-08 appear to
be global and macroeconomic in nature, including the rapid growth
in demand by developing countries, the international financial
crisis, and exchange rate movements. Some of these factors are new,
appearing as influences on price volatility only in the last
decade. Although volatility has always been a feature of
agricultural commodity markets, the evidence suggests that
volatility has increased in certain commodity markets. A growing
problem is that agricultural price shocks and volatility disrupt
agricultural markets, economic incentives and incomes. With
increased globalization and integration of financial and energy
markets with agricultural commodity markets, the relationships
between markets are expanding and becoming more complex. When a
crisis such as a regional drought, food safety scare or a financial
crisis hits a particular market, policy-makers often do not know
the extent to which it will impact on other markets and affect
producer, consumer and trader decisions. Including contributions
from experts at the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture
Organization of the United Nations, the USDA, and the European
Commission, the research developed throughout the chapters of this
book is based on current methodologies that can be used to analyze
price volatility and provide directions for understanding this
volatility and the development of new agricultural policies. The
book highlights the challenges facing policy makers in dealing with
the changing nature of agricultural commodities markets, and offers
recommendations for anticipating price movements and managing their
consequences. It will be a practical guide for both present and
future policy-makers in deciding on potential price-stabilizing
interventions, and will also serve as a useful resource for
researchers and students in agricultural economics.
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