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Multiscale Forecasting Models (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018)
Loot Price: R3,020
Discovery Miles 30 200
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Multiscale Forecasting Models (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018)
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This book presents two new decomposition methods to decompose a
time series in intrinsic components of low and high frequencies.
The methods are based on Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) of a
Hankel matrix (HSVD). The proposed decomposition is used to improve
the accuracy of linear and nonlinear auto-regressive models. Linear
Auto-regressive models (AR, ARMA and ARIMA) and Auto-regressive
Neural Networks (ANNs) have been found insufficient because of the
highly complicated nature of some time series. Hybrid models are a
recent solution to deal with non-stationary processes which combine
pre-processing techniques with conventional forecasters, some
pre-processing techniques broadly implemented are Singular Spectrum
Analysis (SSA) and Stationary Wavelet Transform (SWT). Although the
flexibility of SSA and SWT allows their usage in a wide range of
forecast problems, there is a lack of standard methods to select
their parameters. The proposed decomposition HSVD and Multilevel
SVD are described in detail through time series coming from the
transport and fishery sectors. Further, for comparison purposes, it
is evaluated the forecast accuracy reached by SSA and SWT, both
jointly with AR-based models and ANNs.
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