This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from
a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode
of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of
probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a
lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an
introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on
scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to
generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of
random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called
problem of induction, and on decision theory.
General
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