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The Permanent Crisis - Iran's Nuclear Trajectory (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R5,136
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The Permanent Crisis - Iran's Nuclear Trajectory (Hardcover)
Series: Whitehall Papers
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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The quickening pace of Iran s nuclear activities has produced an
international sense of urgency. Sanctions have intensified, while
fears of an Israeli strike abound. Talks have briefly eased the
tension, before failing due to fundamental differences between Iran
and the West. There seem to be dim prospects for peaceful
resolution; the worry is that this long-running dispute could
become a permanent crisis. This Whitehall Paper tackles the Iranian
nuclear dispute in its full context to determine what possible
compromises may exist and how they may be achieved. While the
crisis is embedded in a set of overlapping security disputes
between Iran on the one hand, and the United States, Arab regional
powers, Israel and the broader West on the other, it is also
important to analyse it in a comparative and thematic context. Iran
s programme is not sui generis: previous experience can help to
inform our assessments of how Iran will be affected by, and respond
to, intense multilateral economic and political pressure, and what
its nuclear posture might be. This study also examines how policy
responses by the West should evolve were Iran to resume its alleged
nuclear-weapons programme, continue to undertake some degree of
near-weaponisation or weaponisation, or test and deploy nuclear
weapons. The Permanent Crisis questions the assumptions and logic
of alarmist studies those which see a nuclear Iran as fanatical,
unresponsive to deterrence and certain to precipitate a wave of
unstoppable nuclear proliferation whilst outlining the very real
risks that would flow from such a failure of Western policy.
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