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Greenhouse Gas Inventories - Dealing With Uncertainty (Paperback, 2011 ed.)
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Greenhouse Gas Inventories - Dealing With Uncertainty (Paperback, 2011 ed.)
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The assessment of greenhouse gases emitted to and removed from the
atmosphere is high on the international political and scientific
agendas. Growing international concern and cooperation regarding
the climate change problem have increased the need for
policy-oriented solutions to the issue of uncertainty in, and
related to, inventories of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The
approaches to addressing uncertainty discussed here reflect
attempts to improve national inventories, not only for their own
sake but also from a wider, systems analytical perspective - a
perspective that seeks to strengthen the usefulness of national
inventories under a compliance and/or global monitoring and
reporting framework. These approaches demonstrate the benefits of
including inventory uncertainty in policy analyses. The authors of
the contributed papers show that considering uncertainty helps
avoid situations that can, for example, create a false sense of
certainty or lead to invalid views of subsystems. This may
eventually prevent related errors from showing up in analyses.
However, considering uncertainty does not come for free. Proper
treatment of uncertainty is costly and demanding because it forces
us to make the step from "simple to complex" and only then to
discuss potential simplifications. Finally, comprehensive treatment
of uncertainty does not offer policymakers quick and easy
solutions.
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