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A data-rich analysis of how the four inter-related crises of 2020
— the COVID-19 pandemic, the economic collapse and K-shaped
recovery, the clashes over the legacy of racism and policing, and
assaults on the legitimacy of democratic institutions (abetted by
conspiracy theories) — shaped not only the 2020 election, but
also the future of our democracy. The 2020 election cycle was one
of the most tumultuous in the nation's history. Early in the cycle,
a global pandemic hit the US, paralyzing much of the economy and
raising a multitude of questions about how people would go about
voting. Then, beginning in late spring, a series of police
brutality cases set off a nationwide wave of protests and civil
disturbances related to racial justice concerns. In the final
phase, the president of the United States refused to accept the
results and incited his followers to storm the US Capitol. How did
all of these momentous events shape voters' opinions? And what
impact did they have on the outcome? To answer these questions,
Kathleen Hall Jamieson and her collaborators surveyed 9,000
Americans over the course of the year to determine how voters
reacted to the events on the ground, the campaigns' attempts at
persuasion, and the post-election chaos that followed Biden's
victory. Generally, American voters saw the multitude of crises
through the lens of their polarized partisan predispositions. But
why? Jamieson and her co-authors first stress that America has
multiple electorates, and they are exposed to different
informational environments. The divergent messages they received
shaped not only their vote choice, but also how they made sense of
these crises. Interestingly, though, while many voters were locked
in place by their partisan priors, a majority of those who ended up
voting for either Biden or Trump were unsure of their choice and
whether they would actually vote at some point during the year.
What led to both the wavering in people's choices and the attitudes
they eventually adopted were in large part due to the differing
media environments enveloping them: the messages from the
campaigns, from their family and friends, as well from those in
mass and social media. But this is not a simple story of "echo
chambers," where individuals are immersed in only one type of media
— far from it. The distinct media environments in which these
electorates experienced the election were in fact complex and
varied, and the interaction between these different types of media
was key. Indeed, most voters were subject to cross-cutting
information pressures and not only one type of partisan source.
This book's focus on the ebb and flow of the campaign over time and
the centrality of wavering voters makes this an authoritative and
essential account of one of the most momentous American elections
ever.
The presidential elections of 2000 and 2004 were two of the most
contested and dramatic in our nation's history. During the election
seasons of 2000 and 2004, the Annenberg Public Policy Center
conducted the largest studies ever undertaken of the American
electorate-the National Annenberg Election Survey (NAES). Capturing
Campaign Dynamics, 2000 and 2004 provides the data from these two
surveys to the general public as well as useful tools for analyzing
and interpreting the findings. Featuring rolling cross-sectional
analysis, this book walks researchers through different strategies
for using this type of survey research to understand campaign
dynamics. An important feature of the volume is its explanation of
the use of time series analysis to study the dynamic effects of
political events as they unfold during presidential elections. The
application of this methodology will uncover new insights into the
time-dependent processes that unfold during election campaigns in
ways that have not been possible before NAES. The book includes a
CD-ROM of the NAES codebooks and data, featuring more than 200,000
interviews with adults living in the United States. The data
contained on the NAES CD-ROM are in both SPSS format and
tab-delimited format for use with other statistical software.
Capturing Campaign Dynamics, 2000 and 2004 is ideal for courses in
survey research methods in political science, communications
studies, and analysis of public opinion. It will also be of great
interest to scholars and professionals, such as pollsters and
political consultants.
As a field of rich theoretical development and practical
application, political communication has expanded over the past
fifty years. Since its development shaped by the turmoil of the
World Wars and suspicion of new technologies such as film and
radio, the discipline has become a hybrid field largely devoted to
connecting the dots between political rhetoric, politicians and
leaders, voters' opinions, and media exposure to better understand
how any one aspect can affects the others. The Oxford Handbook of
Political Communication provides contexts for viewing the field of
political communication, examines political discourse, media, and
considers political communication's evolution inside the altered
political communication landscape. Kate Kenski and Kathleen Hall
Jamieson bring together some of the most groundbreaking scholars in
the field to reflect upon their areas of expertise to address the
importance of their areas of study to the field, the major findings
to date, including areas of scholarly disagreement, on the topics,
the authors' perspectives, and unanswered questions for future
research to address. Their answers reveal that political
communication is a hybrid with complex ancestry, permeable
boundaries and interests that overlap with those of related fields
such as political sociology, public opinion, rhetoric, neuroscience
and the new hybrid on the quad, media psychology. This
comprehensive review of the political communication literature is
designed to become the first reference for scholars and students
interested in the study of how, why, when, and with what effect
humans make sense of symbolic exchanges about sharing and shared
power. The sixty-two chapters in The Oxford Handbook of Political
Communication contain an overview of past scholarship while
providing critical reflection of its relevance in a changing media
landscape and offering agendas for future research and innovation.
Since its development shaped by the turmoil of the World Wars and
suspicion of new technologies such as film and radio, political
communication has become a hybrid field largely devoted to
connecting the dots among political rhetoric, politicians and
leaders, voters' opinions, and media exposure to better understand
how any one aspect can affect the others. In The Oxford Handbook of
Political Communication, Kate Kenski and Kathleen Hall Jamieson
bring together leading scholars, including founders of the field of
political communication Elihu Katz, Jay Blumler, Doris Graber, Max
McCombs, and Thomas Paterson. The contributors review the major
findings about subjects ranging from the effects of political
advertising and debates and understandings and misunderstandings of
agenda setting, framing, and cultivation to the changing contours
of social media use in politics and the functions of the press in a
democratic system. The essays in this volume reveal that political
communication is a hybrid field with complex ancestry, permeable
boundaries, and interests that overlap with those of related fields
such as political sociology, public opinion, rhetoric,
neuroscience, and media psychology. This comprehensive review of
the political communication literature is an indispensible
reference for scholars and students interested in the study of how,
why, when, and with what effect humans make sense of symbolic
exchanges about sharing and shared power. The sixty-two chapters in
The Oxford Handbook of Political Communication contain an overview
of past scholarship while providing critical reflection of its
relevance in a changing media landscape and offering agendas for
future research and innovation.
Barack Obama's stunning victory in the 2008 presidential election
will go down as one of the more pivotal in American history. Given
America's legacy of racism, how could a relatively untested
first-term senator with an African father defeat some of the giants
of American politics?
In The Obama Victory, Kate Kenski, Bruce Hardy, and Kathleen Hall
Jamieson draw upon the best voter data available, The National
Annenberg Election Survey, as well as interviews with key advisors
to each campaign, to illuminate how media, money, and messages
shaped the 2008 election. In a crisp, incisive narrative, the
authors identify the candidates' major themes--Maverick versus
Mc-Same; Change versus Tax and Spend Liberal, etc.--and then apply
them to the five main periods of the campaign: the early summer;
the period from the vice presidential nominations through the
conventions; the financial meltdown from mid-September to
mid-October; the two weeks after the final debate; and the final
week. Throughout, they explain how both sides worked the media to
reinforce or combat images of McCain as too old and Obama as not
ready; how Obama used a very effective rough-and-tumble radio and
cable campaign that was largely unnoticed by the mainstream media;
how the Vice Presidential nominees impacted the campaign; how
McCain's age and Obama's race affected the final vote, and much
more. Analyzing each nominee's broadcast, cable, and radio
spending, the authors conclude that Obama's media campaign was more
savvy than McCain's, and that early voting and the complete
collapse of campaign finance reform will change elections for years
to come.
Briskly written and filled with surprising insights, The Obama
Victory goes beyond opinion to offer the most authoritative account
available of precisely how and why Obama won the presidency.
Barack Obama's stunning victory in the 2008 presidential election
will go down as one of the more pivotal in American history. Given
America's legacy of racism, how could a relatively untested
first-term senator with an African father defeat some of the giants
of American politics?
In The Obama Victory, Kate Kenski, Bruce Hardy, and Kathleen Hall
Jamieson draw upon the best voter data available, The National
Annenberg Election Survey, as well as interviews with key advisors
to each campaign, to illuminate how media, money, and messages
shaped the 2008 election. In a crisp, incisive narrative, the
authors identify the candidates' major themes--Maverick versus
Mc-Same; Change versus Tax and Spend Liberal, etc.--and then apply
them to the five main periods of the campaign: the early summer;
the period from the vice presidential nominations through the
conventions; the financial meltdown from mid-September to
mid-October; the two weeks after the final debate; and the final
week. Throughout, they explain how both sides worked the media to
reinforce or combat images of McCain as too old and Obama as not
ready; how Obama used a very effective rough-and-tumble radio and
cable campaign that was largely unnoticed by the mainstream media;
how the Vice Presidential nominees impacted the campaign; how
McCain's age and Obama's race affected the final vote, and much
more. Analyzing each nominee's broadcast, cable, and radio
spending, the authors conclude that Obama's media campaign was more
savvy than McCain's, and that early voting and the complete
collapse of campaign finance reform will change elections for years
to come.
Briskly written and filled with surprising insights, The Obama
Victory goes beyond opinion to offer the most authoritative account
available of precisely how and why Obama won the presidency.
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