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Democracy amid Crises - Polarization, Pandemic, Protests, and Persuasion (Hardcover)
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Democracy amid Crises - Polarization, Pandemic, Protests, and Persuasion (Hardcover)
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A data-rich analysis of how the four inter-related crises of 2020
— the COVID-19 pandemic, the economic collapse and K-shaped
recovery, the clashes over the legacy of racism and policing, and
assaults on the legitimacy of democratic institutions (abetted by
conspiracy theories) — shaped not only the 2020 election, but
also the future of our democracy. The 2020 election cycle was one
of the most tumultuous in the nation's history. Early in the cycle,
a global pandemic hit the US, paralyzing much of the economy and
raising a multitude of questions about how people would go about
voting. Then, beginning in late spring, a series of police
brutality cases set off a nationwide wave of protests and civil
disturbances related to racial justice concerns. In the final
phase, the president of the United States refused to accept the
results and incited his followers to storm the US Capitol. How did
all of these momentous events shape voters' opinions? And what
impact did they have on the outcome? To answer these questions,
Kathleen Hall Jamieson and her collaborators surveyed 9,000
Americans over the course of the year to determine how voters
reacted to the events on the ground, the campaigns' attempts at
persuasion, and the post-election chaos that followed Biden's
victory. Generally, American voters saw the multitude of crises
through the lens of their polarized partisan predispositions. But
why? Jamieson and her co-authors first stress that America has
multiple electorates, and they are exposed to different
informational environments. The divergent messages they received
shaped not only their vote choice, but also how they made sense of
these crises. Interestingly, though, while many voters were locked
in place by their partisan priors, a majority of those who ended up
voting for either Biden or Trump were unsure of their choice and
whether they would actually vote at some point during the year.
What led to both the wavering in people's choices and the attitudes
they eventually adopted were in large part due to the differing
media environments enveloping them: the messages from the
campaigns, from their family and friends, as well from those in
mass and social media. But this is not a simple story of "echo
chambers," where individuals are immersed in only one type of media
— far from it. The distinct media environments in which these
electorates experienced the election were in fact complex and
varied, and the interaction between these different types of media
was key. Indeed, most voters were subject to cross-cutting
information pressures and not only one type of partisan source.
This book's focus on the ebb and flow of the campaign over time and
the centrality of wavering voters makes this an authoritative and
essential account of one of the most momentous American elections
ever.
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