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Fifth Edition. For the sixth presidential election running, Michael
W. Traugott and Paul J. Lavrakas team up to give voters everything
they need to know about election polls. When it comes to polls, the
stakes are high, which is why this edition has been revised to
incorporate information on the latest technologies used for data
collection and data analysis. In straightforward language, the
authors answer questions such as: How do political candidates and
organizations use poll data? How do news organizations collect and
report poll data? Why do pollsters use samples? How do media
organizations analyze polls? They also examine common problems and
complaints about polls, such as the increasing use of "push
polls"-a political telemarketing technique-and polls conducted on
the Internet that attract a large number of respondents who may not
be representative of the general public."
For the fourth presidential election running, Michael Traugott and
Paul Lavrakas give voters everything they need to know about
election polls and why it matters that we understand them. If
statistics are worse than lies, just think what misreading the
polls can do!
For the fourth presidential election running, Michael Traugott and
Paul Lavrakas give voters everything they need to know about
election polls and why it matters that we understand them. If
statistics are worse than lies, just think what misreading the
polls can do!
'Some of the most experienced and thoughtful research experts in
the world have contributed to this comprehensive Handbook, which
should have a place on every serious survey researcher's bookshelf'
- Sir Robert Worcester, Founder of MORI and President of WAPOR
'82-'84. 'This is the book I have been waiting for. It not only
reflects the state of the art, but will most likely also shape
public opinion on public opinion research' - Olof Petersson,
Professor of political science, SNS, Stockholm, Sweden 'The
Handbook of Public Opinion Research is very authoritative, well
organized, and sensitive to key issues in opinion research around
the world. It will be my first choice as a general reference book
for orienting users and training producers of opinion polls in
Southeast Asia' - Mahar K. Mangahas, Ph.D., President of Social
Weather Stations, Philippines (www.sws.org.ph) 'This is the most
comprehensive book on public opinion research to date' - Robert
Ting-Yiu Chung, Secretary-Treasurer, World Association for Public
Opinion Research (WAPOR); Director of Public Opinion Programme, The
University of Hong Kong Public opinion theory and research are
becoming increasingly significant in modern societies as people's
attitudes and behaviours become ever more volatile and opinion poll
data becomes ever more readily available. This major new Handbook
is the first to bring together into one volume the whole field of
public opinion theory, research methodology, and the political and
social embeddedness of polls in modern societies. It
comprehensively maps out the state-of-the-art in contemporary
scholarship on these topics. With over fifty chapters written by
distinguished international researchers, both academic and from the
commercial sector, this Handbook is designed to: - give the reader
an overview of the most important concepts included in and
surrounding the term 'public opinion' and its application in modern
social research - present the basic empirical concepts for
assessing public opinion and opinion changes in society - provide
an overview of the social, political and legal status of public
opinion research, how it is perceived by the public and by
journalists, and how it is used by governments - offer a review of
the role and use of surveys for selected special fields of
application, ranging from their use in legal cases to the use of
polls in marketing and campaigns. The Handbook of Public Opinion
Research provides an indispensable resource for both practitioners
and students alike.
How the 2016 news media environment allowed Trump to win the
presidency The 2016 presidential election campaign might have
seemed to be all about one man. He certainly did everything
possible to reinforce that impression. But to an unprecedented
degree the campaign also was about the news media and its
relationships with the man who won and the woman he defeated. Words
that Matter assesses how the news media covered the extraordinary
2016 election and, more important, what information-true, false, or
somewhere in between-actually helped voters make up their minds.
Using journalists' real-time tweets and published news coverage of
campaign events, along with Gallup polling data measuring how
voters perceived that reporting, the book traces the flow of
information from candidates and their campaigns to journalists and
to the public. The evidence uncovered shows how Donald Trump's
victory, and Hillary Clinton's loss, resulted in large part from
how the news media responded to these two unique candidates. Both
candidates were unusual in their own ways, and thus presented a
long list of possible issues for the media to focus on. Which of
these many topics got communicated to voters made a big difference
outcome. What people heard about these two candidates during the
campaign was quite different. Coverage of Trump was scattered among
many different issues, and while many of those issues were
negative, no single negative narrative came to dominate the
coverage of the man who would be elected the 45th president of the
United States. Clinton, by contrast, faced an almost unrelenting
news media focus on one negative issue-her alleged misuse of
e-mails-that captured public attention in a way that the more
numerous questions about Trump did not. Some news media coverage of
the campaign was insightful and helpful to voters who really wanted
serious information to help them make the most important decision a
democracy offers. But this book also demonstrates how the modern
media environment can exacerbate the kind of pack journalism that
leads some issues to dominate the news while others of equal or
greater importance get almost no attention, making it hard for
voters to make informed choices.
Fifth Edition. For the sixth presidential election running, Michael
W. Traugott and Paul J. Lavrakas team up to give voters everything
they need to know about election polls. When it comes to polls, the
stakes are high, which is why this edition has been revised to
incorporate information on the latest technologies used for data
collection and data analysis. In straightforward language, the
authors answer questions such as: - How do political candidates and
organizations use poll data? - How do news organizations collect
and report poll data? - Why do pollsters use samples? - How do
media organizations analyze polls? They also examine common
problems and complaints about polls, such as the increasing use of
"push polls"-a political telemarketing technique-and polls
conducted on the Internet that attract a large number of
respondents who may not be representative of the general public.
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