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Foreign Pressure and the Politics of Autocratic Survival (Hardcover)
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Foreign Pressure and the Politics of Autocratic Survival (Hardcover)
Series: Oxford Studies in Democratization
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Can coercive foreign policy destabilize autocratic regimes? Can
democracy be promoted from abroad? This book examines how foreign
policy tools such as aid, economic sanctions, human rights shaming
and prosecutions, and military intervention influence the survival
of autocratic regimes. Foreign pressure destabilizes autocracies
through three mechanisms: limiting the regime's capacity to
maintain support; undermining its repressive capacity; and altering
the expected utility of stepping down for political elites. Foreign
Pressure and the Politics of Autocratic Survival distinguishes
between three types of autocracies: personalist rule, party-based
regimes, and military dictatorships. These distinct institutional
settings influence the dictators' strategies for surviving in power
as well as the propensity with which their leaders are punished
after a regime transition. Consequently, the influence of foreign
pressure varies across autocratic regime types. Further, the
authors show that when foreign coercion destabilizes an autocracy,
this does not always lead to democratic regime change because
different regimes breakdown in distinct ways. While democratization
is often equated with the demise of autocratic rule, it is just one
possible outcome after an autocratic regime collapses. Many times,
instead of democratization, externally-induced regime collapse
means that a new dictatorship replaces the old one. This theory is
tested against an extensive analysis of all dictatorships since
1946, and historical cases which trace the causal process in
instances where foreign policy tools helped oust dictatorships.
Oxford Studies in Democratization is a series for scholars and
students of comparative politics and related disciplines. Volumes
concentrate on the comparative study of the democratization process
that accompanied the decline and termination of the cold war. The
geographical focus of the series is primarily Latin America, the
Caribbean, Southern and Eastern Europe, and relevant experiences in
Africa and Asia. The series editor is Laurence Whitehead, Senior
Research Fellow, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
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