North Korea poses a key challenge to the global community of
states. Sometimes viewed as primarily a nuclear or proliferation
challenge, Pyongyang actually presents the United States and other
countries with multiple problems. As the 2005 National Defense
Strategy of the United States notes, these challenges include
"traditional, irregular, and catastrophic." While each dimension of
these threat capabilities are fairly clear and, with the exception
of the third, readily documented, North Korea's intentions are a
much more controversial subject upon which specialists reach widely
disparate conclusions. In this monograph, Dr. Andrew Scobell
examines the topic of Pyongyang's strategic intentions. He first
identifies a broad spectrum of expert views and distills this
wisdom into three "packages" of possible strategic intentions. He
then sets out to test which package appears to reflect actual North
Korean policy.
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