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Overheated - The Human Cost of Climate Change (Paperback)
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Overheated - The Human Cost of Climate Change (Paperback)
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Deniers of climate change sometimes quip that claims about global
warming are more about political science than climate science. They
are wrong on the science, but may be right with respect to its
political implications. A hotter world, writes Andrew Guzman, will
bring unprecedented migrations, famine, war, and disease. It will
be a social and political disaster of the first order. In
Overheated, Guzman takes climate change out of the realm of
scientific abstraction to explore its real-world consequences. He
writes not as a scientist, but as an authority on international law
and economics. He takes as his starting point a fairly optimistic
outcome in the range predicted by scientists: a 2 degree Celsius
increase in average global temperatures. Even this modest rise
would lead to catastrophic environmental and social problems.
Already we can see how it will work: The ten warmest years since
1880 have all occurred since 1998, and one estimate of the annual
global death toll caused by climate change is now 300,000. That
number might rise to 500,000 by 2030. He shows in vivid detail how
climate change is already playing out in the real world. Rising
seas will swamp island nations like Maldives; coastal
food-producing regions in Bangladesh will be flooded; and millions
will be forced to migrate into cities or possibly "climate-refugee
camps." Even as seas rise, melting glaciers in the Andes and the
Himalayas will deprive millions upon millions of people of fresh
water, threatening major cities and further straining food
production. Prolonged droughts in the Sahel region of Africa have
already helped produce mass violence in Darfur. Clear, cogent, and
compelling, Overheated shifts the discussion on climate change
toward its devastating impact on human societies. Two degrees
Celsius seems such a minor change. Yet it will change everything.
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