Since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, East Asia has implemented a
number of initiatives designed to strengthen monetary and financial
cooperation, bolstering the region's resilience to economic and
financial vulnerabilities. One such initiative is the ASEAN & 3
Information Exchange and Policy Dialogue, which includes
development of early warning systems (EWS) for financial crises.
This book examines efforts to develop EWS models. Specifically, the
book analyses the current understanding of the causes of currency
and banking crises, describes recent progress in developing and
applying EWS models for currency and banking crises, reviews
methodological isues, assesses the predictive power of EWS models
and also highlights areas where further research is required to
make these models more effective tools for policy analysis. The
case studies apply both parametric and nonparametric approaches to
EWS modeling using data from six East Asian countries.
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