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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Crime & criminology
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Against Prediction (Paperback, New edition)
Loot Price: R1,184
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Against Prediction (Paperback, New edition)
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From routine security checks at airports to the use of risk
assessment in sentencing, actuarial methods are being employed more
than ever to determine whom law enforcement officials target and
punish. And with the exception of racial profiling on our highways
and streets, most people favor these methods because they believe
they're a more cost-effective way to fight crime. In "Against
Prediction," Bernard E. Harcourt challenges this growing reliance
on actuarial methods. These prediction tools, he demonstrates, may
in fact "increase" the overall amount of crime in society,
depending on the relative responsiveness of the profiled
populations to heightened security. They may also aggravate the
difficulties that profiled persons already have obtaining work,
education, and a better quality of life--thus perpetuating the
pattern of criminal behavior. Ultimately, Harcourt shows how the
perceived success of actuarial methods has begun to distort our
very conception of just punishment and to obscure alternative
visions of social order. In place of the actuarial, he proposes
instead a turn to randomization in punishment and policing. The
presumption, Harcourt concludes, should be "against prediction."
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