Nowhere has the divide between advocates and critics of
globalization been more striking than in debates over free trade
and the environment. And yet the literature on the subject is high
on rhetoric and low on results. This book is the first to
systematically investigate the subject using both economic theory
and empirical analysis. Brian Copeland and Scott Taylor establish a
powerful theoretical framework for examining the impact of
international trade on local pollution levels, and use it to offer
a uniquely integrated treatment of the links between economic
growth, liberalized trade, and the environment. The results will
surprise many.
The authors set out the two leading theories linking
international trade to environmental outcomes, develop the
empirical implications, and examine their validity using data on
measured sulfur dioxide concentrations from over 100 cities
worldwide during the period from 1971 to 1986.
The empirical results are provocative. For an average country in
the sample, free trade is good for the environment. There is little
evidence that developing countries will specialize in
pollution-intensive products with further trade. In fact, the
results suggest just the opposite: free trade will shift
pollution-intensive goods production from poor countries with lax
regulation to rich countries with tight regulation, thereby
lowering world pollution. The results also suggest that pollution
declines amid economic growth fueled by economy-wide technological
progress but rises when growth is fueled by capital accumulation
alone.
Lucidly argued and authoritatively written, this book will
provide students and researchers of international trade and
environmental economics a more reliable way of thinking about this
contentious issue, and the methodological tools with which to do
so.
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