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Strategic Command and Control (Paperback)
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Strategic Command and Control (Paperback)
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During the past twenty-five years, U.S. strategists have argued
that avoiding nuclear war depends on deterring a Soviet first
strike by ensuring that U.S. forces could survive a surprise attack
in numbers sufficient to inflict unacceptable damage in
retaliation. U.S. military and political leaders have thus
emphasized acquiring more powerful and accurate weaponry and
providing better protection for it, while defense analysts have
focused on assessing the relative strength and survivability of
U.S. and Soviet forces. In the process neither has given sufficient
attention to the vulnerability of the U.S. command, control, and
communications system that would coordinate warning of an attack in
progress and the response to it. In this study Bruce G. Blair
examines accepted assumptions about mutual deterrence, force
strength, and survivability, and concludes that the vulnerability
of command, control, and communications not only precludes an
effective retaliatory strike but also invites a preemptive Soviet
first strike. After summarizing the assumptions and evaluative
methodology behind mainstream strategic theory, the study describes
the current decentralized command and control system that, under
conditions of surprise attack, could be unable to communicate with
decisionmakers or with units responsible for executing the
decisions. Blair traces in detail the development of the system
over three decades; the attempts to improve it through the use of
procedural guidelines, alternative and redundant communications
channels, and survival tactics; and the continuing vulnerabilities
from improved Soviet weapons and the environmental forces
engendered by massive nuclear detonations. Blair also analyzes the
probable effects of proposals by the Reagan administration to
strengthen command, control, and communications systems and
provides recommendations for further strengthening and for altering
related policies, deployments, and strategies to improve the
stability of deterrence.
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