Chosen for the 2011 ASLI Choice - Honorable Mention (History
Category) for a compendium of the key scientific papers that
undergird the global warming forecast.
Global warming is arguably the defining scientific issue of
modern times, but it is not widely appreciated that the foundations
of our understanding were laid almost two centuries ago with the
postulation of a greenhouse effect by Fourier in 1827. The
sensitivity of climate to changes in atmospheric CO2 was first
estimated about one century ago, and the rise in atmospheric CO2
concentration was discovered half a century ago. The fundamentals
of the science underlying the forecast for human-induced climate
change were being published and debated long before the issue rose
to public prominence in the last few decades.
"The Warming Papers" is a compendium of the classic scientific
papers that constitute the foundation of the global warming
forecast. The paper trail ranges from Fourier and Arrhenius in the
19th Century to Manabe and Hansen in modern times. Archer and
Pierrehumbert provide introductions and commentary which places the
papers in their context and provide students with tools to develop
and extend their understanding of the subject.
The book captures the excitement and the uncertainty that always
exist at the cutting edge of research, and is invaluable reading
for students of climate science, scientists, historians of science,
and others interested in climate change.
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