Future Babble - Why Pundits Are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best (Paperback)

New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble "Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them."-Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it. Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, "hedgehogs" who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while "foxes," who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.

General

Imprint:	Plume Books
Country of origin:	United States
Release date:	February 2012
First published:	February 2012
Authors:	Daniel Gardner
Dimensions:	203 x 137 x 18mm (L x W x T)
Format:	Paperback - Trade
Pages:	320
ISBN-13:	978-0-452-29757-9
Categories:	Books > Social sciences > Psychology > Social, group or collective psychology Books > Humanities > History > American history > General Books > Humanities > History > History of specific subjects > General Books > Social sciences > Psychology > Cognition & cognitive psychology > General Books > History > American history > General Books > History > History of specific subjects > General Promotions
LSN:	0-452-29757-5
Barcode:	9780452297579

Is the information for this product incomplete, wrong or inappropriate? Let us know about it.

Does this product have an incorrect or missing image? Send us a new image.

Is this product missing categories? Add more categories.

Review This Product

No reviews yet - be the first to create one!