Despite the appearance of political and military stability,
Egypt may be standing at the edge of a precipice as the state
remains grounded in rigid authoritarianism while the population,
including a struggling civil society, readies itself to make the
leap to democratization. This characterization has far-reaching
implications for relations between citizens and the government, as
well as Egypt's foreign affairs posture, particularly in the Middle
East. State repression of civil, political, and religious actors,
the ineffectual provision of social services, and two religious
divides, between Coptic Christianity and Islam on the one hand, and
secular and conservative Islamic traditions on the other, make for
an incendiary domestic environment. The resulting over-reliance on
security services to quash dissent could result in a population
more amenable to less democratic methods of regime change and/or
the development of stronger linkages between regional Islamist
groups, whether they be political, militant, or some combination
thereof.
"Global Security Watch--Egypt" explores the historical
background that created the current realities in Egypt and examines
the players and events influencing the nation today. It concludes
with a series of recommendations for the Egyptian political
establishment, and for the American government, in the belief that
meaningful political and policy changes in Egypt can lead to an
improvement in human rights, democracy, justice, stability, and
security for Egypt, and an improved partnership between Egypt and
the United States.
General
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