As Mexico approaches the 21st century, its problems seem to be
rapidly overwhelming its prospects. Only a short time ago, with the
passage of NAFTA, it appeared ready to catapult out of
underdevelopment into the ranks of the industrialized countries.
Then came 1994, the year of living dangerously, and suddenly Mexico
appeared dangerously close to the brink of wholesale
disintegration. What went wrong? And what are the prospects for the
future? In Mexico Faces the 21st Century, a distinguished group of
veteran Mexico watchers analyze the roots of the crisis and the
outlook for political stability democratization, socioeconomic
development, and U.S.-Mexican relations.
Among the subjects addressed are: the crisis of the Salinas
years, the changing nature of the political system, the relations
between the PRI and the opposition, the internal conflicts within
the PRI, the emerging power of the narcotraffickers, the role of
civil society, labor and the military, the Chiapas uprising, NAFTA,
the current economic crisis, illegal migration, the U.S.-Mexican
borderlands, and U.S.-Mexican national security issues. Though the
prognosis is for a troubled future, the outlook is by no means
hopeless: political violence and socioeconomic turmoil will
continue, and relations with the United States will be more
conflictual than anticipated. But Mexico will probably be able to
avoid a full-scale revolutionary upheaval and will continue what is
likely to be a long and difficult transition to democracy.
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