Marked changes in the balance of power between states in the
international system are generally seen by IR scholars as among the
most common causes of war. This book explains why such power shifts
lead to war breaking out in some cases, but not in others.
In contrast to existing approaches, this book argues that the
military strategy of declining states is the key determinant of
whether power shifts result in war or pass peacefully. More
specifically, Dong Sun Lee argues that the probability of war is
primarily a function of whether a declining state possesses a
manoeuvre strategy or an attrition strategy . The argument is
developed through the investigation of fourteen power shifts among
great powers over the past two centuries.
Shifts in the balance of power and the attendant risks of war
remain an enduring feature of international politics. This book
argues that policymakers need to understand the factors influencing
the risk of war as a result of these changes, in particular the
contemporary shifts in power resulting from the rise of China and
from the growth of nuclear proliferation."
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