Marked changes in the balance of power between states in the
international system are generally seen by IR scholars as among the
most common causes of war. This book explains why such power shifts
lead to war breaking out in some cases, but not in others. In
contrast to existing approaches, this book argues that the military
strategy of declining states is the key determinant of whether
power shifts result in war or pass peacefully. More specifically,
Dong Sun Lee argues that the probability of war is primarily a
function of whether a declining state possesses a 'manoeuvre
strategy' or an 'attrition strategy'. The argument is developed
through the investigation of fourteen power shifts among great
powers over the past two centuries. Shifts in the balance of power
and the attendant risks of war remain an enduring feature of
international politics. This book argues that policymakers need to
understand the factors influencing the risk of war as a result of
these changes, in particular the contemporary shifts in power
resulting from the rise of China and from the growth of nuclear
proliferation.
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