Contrary to lurid forecasts in the West that China is on track to
wrest global hegemony from the United States by 2025, China is in
fact positioning itself to resume its historic role as the "Middle
Kingdom"—a senior mentor with benign aspirations for guiding Asia
into the mid-21st century. In China Restored: The Middle Kingdom
Looks to 2020 and Beyond, Eric C. Anderson challenges the
widespread perception of China as a rising giant whose
authoritarian program to supplant the United States as global
hegemony poses a grave international threat. He weighs in against
doomsday prophets such as Martin Jacques, who predicts that China's
economy and diplomatic influence will equal those of the United
States by 2025 and will eclipse them by a factor of two by 2050.
Anderson, a player in Washington's China policy debates who enjoys
deep access to Chinese intelligence sources, counters with a
careful argument that Beijing's overriding aim is in fact to foster
a stable global environment conducive to its economic development
and regional hegemony based on legitimate political authority
rather than coercion. Anderson points to three principal factors
that will drive Chinese behavior over the next 10 years: the
Chinese Communist Party's desire to be recognized as a responsible
member of the international community; China's effort to equip,
train, and maintain a modern military; and Beijing's campaign to
"sell" her governance model—from economic development to serving
a domestic constituency—as a direct competitor to Washington's
version of liberal democracy. Asserting that Beijing is poised to
serve as Washington's "peer competitor," Anderson offers insights
as to what can be expected from China in the future, including
facilitating U.S. nuclear nonproliferation efforts and
participating in international peacekeeping operations.
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