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Analyst Forecasts, Earnings Management, and Insider Trading Patterns - Incidence and Performance Consequences (Paperback)
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Analyst Forecasts, Earnings Management, and Insider Trading Patterns - Incidence and Performance Consequences (Paperback)
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For at least two decades, it was believed that making managers into
owners could ameliorate many agency conflicts existing in capital
markets settings. In fact, it now appears that managerial ownership
of stock itself may encourage earnings manipulations. In this
study, we show that CEO insider trading, earnings manipulations,
and the ability to meet and exceed market benchmarks are all
interrelated. Managers manipulate earnings to exceed analyst
earnings forecasts. Additionally, managerial insider selling
increases with performance relative to analyst forecasts, and is
magnified by stock option holdings. Insider selling is more intense
among managers who have used earnings manipulations to exceed
forecasts. Additionally, managers who sell following the
announcement of an earnings surprise are able to earn abnormal
profits. Firms having both positive earnings surprises and insider
selling exhibit lower subsequent accounting performance. This study
is of interest to academics, practitioners who are interested in
the finer mechanisms of markets, and advanced finance students,
alike.
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